1 00:00:06,590 --> 00:00:03,700 good morning or afternoon everyone 2 00:00:10,129 --> 00:00:06,600 welcome to the next in the theories of 3 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:10,139 nai team overview seminars and this 4 00:00:14,930 --> 00:00:12,210 seminar is by a principal investigator 5 00:00:18,439 --> 00:00:14,940 who I think is well known to everybody 6 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:18,449 Vikki Meadows who has been a p.i in the 7 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:21,570 NAI since the second competition I think 8 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:24,210 most people also know the general 9 00:00:29,660 --> 00:00:27,930 subject of Vickie's team as you know I 10 00:00:32,780 --> 00:00:29,670 often point out that there are some 11 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:32,790 teams whose entire research project can 12 00:00:37,310 --> 00:00:35,250 be captured in a sentence and sometimes 13 00:00:38,119 --> 00:00:37,320 even half a sentence in the case of 14 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:38,129 Vickie's team 15 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:41,010 it's the audacious task of modeling and 16 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:44,850 alien biosphere so we're going to hear 17 00:00:50,660 --> 00:00:47,010 about Vickie's progress and future plans 18 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:50,670 on that Vicki got her bachelor's from 19 00:00:54,830 --> 00:00:52,530 the University of New South Wales which 20 00:00:58,639 --> 00:00:54,840 happens to be the home the new home of 21 00:01:01,310 --> 00:00:58,649 our Australian international partner and 22 00:01:03,049 --> 00:01:01,320 the Australian Centre for astrobiology 23 00:01:04,910 --> 00:01:03,059 led by Malcolm Walter and then she got 24 00:01:07,370 --> 00:01:04,920 her PhD in astrophysics at the 25 00:01:10,270 --> 00:01:07,380 University of Sydney in Australia she 26 00:01:13,039 --> 00:01:10,280 then moved to JPL where I believe she 27 00:01:14,660 --> 00:01:13,049 spent her entire career prior to moving 28 00:01:18,050 --> 00:01:14,670 to the University of Washington a couple 29 00:01:20,090 --> 00:01:18,060 of years ago she was an NRC postdoc a 30 00:01:22,789 --> 00:01:20,100 research scientist at the sort of 31 00:01:24,620 --> 00:01:22,799 Science Center and then of course the 32 00:01:26,780 --> 00:01:24,630 witch got converted into the Spitzer 33 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:26,790 Science Center's so without any further 34 00:01:32,890 --> 00:01:30,930 ado Vicki I'll turn it over to you you 35 00:01:35,270 --> 00:01:32,900 very much Carl for that introduction 36 00:01:38,300 --> 00:01:35,280 okay so today I'm going to talk about 37 00:01:39,770 --> 00:01:38,310 the virtual planetary laboratory lead 38 00:01:43,999 --> 00:01:39,780 team of the NASA Astrobiology Institute 39 00:01:46,819 --> 00:01:44,009 and to inform you my fellow nei members 40 00:01:48,679 --> 00:01:46,829 about the research that we do I'll give 41 00:01:50,719 --> 00:01:48,689 you an overview of the types of areas of 42 00:01:54,710 --> 00:01:50,729 research we like to get into some of the 43 00:01:55,789 --> 00:01:54,720 major players some updates on some 44 00:01:58,100 --> 00:01:55,799 things we've done already 45 00:02:00,410 --> 00:01:58,110 as they illustrate what we're capable of 46 00:02:04,910 --> 00:02:00,420 and a discussion of our future plans as 47 00:02:07,190 --> 00:02:04,920 well so as Kyle pointed out it can be 48 00:02:09,290 --> 00:02:07,200 fairly easy to summarize what we do and 49 00:02:12,650 --> 00:02:09,300 our area of research we are firmly 50 00:02:13,559 --> 00:02:12,660 centered in exoplanet science but in 51 00:02:15,929 --> 00:02:13,569 doing that 52 00:02:18,149 --> 00:02:15,939 we also have to call upon our colleagues 53 00:02:20,429 --> 00:02:18,159 in earth observing science and also in 54 00:02:22,110 --> 00:02:20,439 the early Earth community because both 55 00:02:24,569 --> 00:02:22,120 the modern day earth and the early Earth 56 00:02:26,759 --> 00:02:24,579 are examples of habitable and inhabited 57 00:02:31,379 --> 00:02:26,769 planets so we care about those as well 58 00:02:34,140 --> 00:02:31,389 so I'm talking today but behind me there 59 00:02:37,349 --> 00:02:34,150 is a mass of people I've actually lost 60 00:02:40,979 --> 00:02:37,359 count how many we have it's something 61 00:02:43,409 --> 00:02:40,989 close to 40 but so when I show a list of 62 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:43,419 our team here I tend to talk in 63 00:02:45,959 --> 00:02:45,010 statistics rather than individuals 64 00:02:48,209 --> 00:02:45,969 because I can't really go through 65 00:02:51,119 --> 00:02:48,219 everybody individually this is slide 1 66 00:02:52,830 --> 00:02:51,129 of 2 and so what you can see here 67 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:52,840 statistically is that we have a very 68 00:02:57,479 --> 00:02:54,730 strong Center now at the University of 69 00:02:59,339 --> 00:02:57,489 Washington myself postdocs graduate 70 00:03:01,470 --> 00:02:59,349 students and we just recently acquired 71 00:03:03,990 --> 00:03:01,480 our colleagues from the original u-dub 72 00:03:06,420 --> 00:03:04,000 team so people like Roger Buick Peter 73 00:03:08,550 --> 00:03:06,430 Ward John Barris Jody Deming are all now 74 00:03:10,589 --> 00:03:08,560 collaborating with the BPL as well and 75 00:03:12,959 --> 00:03:10,599 I'm very very pleased to have them join 76 00:03:14,849 --> 00:03:12,969 us we have another major center of 77 00:03:17,939 --> 00:03:14,859 course at JPL and Caltech which is where 78 00:03:19,679 --> 00:03:17,949 VPL started out we have had a very very 79 00:03:21,629 --> 00:03:19,689 strong collaboration over the years with 80 00:03:23,580 --> 00:03:21,639 Penn State via Jim casting and his 81 00:03:25,920 --> 00:03:23,590 research group and that really has been 82 00:03:27,780 --> 00:03:25,930 as you will see extremely valuable in 83 00:03:31,110 --> 00:03:27,790 shaping the type of research that we do 84 00:03:33,749 --> 00:03:31,120 as well if I moved to page 2 we also 85 00:03:36,780 --> 00:03:33,759 have collaborations with NASA Ames in 86 00:03:38,369 --> 00:03:36,790 both planetary atmospheric modeling and 87 00:03:40,890 --> 00:03:38,379 chemical modeling and also in 88 00:03:43,949 --> 00:03:40,900 microbiology as well for a microbial 89 00:03:45,599 --> 00:03:43,959 mats Torrey holler Kelli Decker Dave dem 90 00:03:46,770 --> 00:03:45,609 array there we have some links with 91 00:03:48,599 --> 00:03:46,780 Goddard now through their Earth 92 00:03:50,460 --> 00:03:48,609 observing people Watson Greg Jeff 93 00:03:52,229 --> 00:03:50,470 penalty and then you can see we also 94 00:03:54,270 --> 00:03:52,239 have a list of experts distributed 95 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:54,280 across this country and other people's 96 00:03:58,649 --> 00:03:56,290 countries who helped us out with the 97 00:04:01,740 --> 00:03:58,659 various tasks as well so we're 98 00:04:04,199 --> 00:04:01,750 distributed very highly across about 20 99 00:04:07,050 --> 00:04:04,209 institutions with about 40 people but 100 00:04:11,009 --> 00:04:07,060 centered primarily at 3 NASA centers and 101 00:04:12,659 --> 00:04:11,019 at Penn State and the you dub so that's 102 00:04:13,830 --> 00:04:12,669 our team oh and sorry just one other 103 00:04:15,390 --> 00:04:13,840 point I want to make because if you're 104 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:15,400 looking at this right-hand column you'll 105 00:04:19,379 --> 00:04:17,530 see that we have an extreme diversity of 106 00:04:22,589 --> 00:04:19,389 disciplines in this team as well 107 00:04:25,110 --> 00:04:22,599 everything from stellar astrophysics all 108 00:04:27,330 --> 00:04:25,120 the way down to microbial 109 00:04:31,170 --> 00:04:27,340 sample horizontal gene transfer people 110 00:04:33,810 --> 00:04:31,180 who study molecular evolution alright so 111 00:04:35,100 --> 00:04:33,820 if you can say what our science was in 112 00:04:36,690 --> 00:04:35,110 VP L it is to search for habitable 113 00:04:41,060 --> 00:04:36,700 environments and life beyond the solar 114 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:41,070 system that's where we want to work in 115 00:04:45,540 --> 00:04:44,050 current wisdom how about a planet some 116 00:04:46,590 --> 00:04:45,550 more likely to be terrestrial planets 117 00:04:48,030 --> 00:04:46,600 and they're more likely to be within 118 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:48,040 this thing we call this circumstellar 119 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:49,930 habitable zone so that's kind of where 120 00:04:55,290 --> 00:04:52,450 we put a lot of our research we model in 121 00:04:57,390 --> 00:04:55,300 that particular area currently as of 122 00:05:00,480 --> 00:04:57,400 this morning there are 344 extrasolar 123 00:05:02,909 --> 00:05:00,490 planets known but of those only about 10 124 00:05:04,890 --> 00:05:02,919 are less than 10 Earth masses and so 125 00:05:06,900 --> 00:05:04,900 that would be only about 10 that are 126 00:05:10,740 --> 00:05:06,910 probably terrestrial rocky type planets 127 00:05:12,629 --> 00:05:10,750 more akin to the earth than to Jupiter 128 00:05:14,879 --> 00:05:12,639 all the other tourists all the other 129 00:05:17,010 --> 00:05:14,889 extrasolar planets found so far are more 130 00:05:18,540 --> 00:05:17,020 of the Jovian type and then we can learn 131 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:18,550 quite a bit from them especially in the 132 00:05:24,450 --> 00:05:21,610 techniques we use to study them it can 133 00:05:25,590 --> 00:05:24,460 be we think that the habit or ones are 134 00:05:26,610 --> 00:05:25,600 more likely to be the terrestrial 135 00:05:29,820 --> 00:05:26,620 planets and so that's what we 136 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:29,830 concentrate on there so far in the ester 137 00:05:34,529 --> 00:05:31,690 solid planets sample that we have a true 138 00:05:36,450 --> 00:05:34,539 Earth analog has yet to be found but it 139 00:05:37,950 --> 00:05:36,460 won't be long I really don't think it 140 00:05:39,390 --> 00:05:37,960 will be very long at all so maybe in the 141 00:05:41,219 --> 00:05:39,400 next five years or so we'll actually 142 00:05:43,740 --> 00:05:41,229 find a true earth analog which will be 143 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:43,750 something maybe 2 or 3 earth masses in 144 00:05:48,300 --> 00:05:46,450 the habitable zone of its parent star so 145 00:05:50,580 --> 00:05:48,310 the question we ask ourselves at VPL is 146 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:50,590 once we find this thing how do we go 147 00:05:54,540 --> 00:05:52,210 about recognizing if an extrasolar 148 00:05:56,100 --> 00:05:54,550 terrestrial planet can or does support 149 00:05:58,260 --> 00:05:56,110 life so those are the questions of 150 00:06:01,469 --> 00:05:58,270 habitability and life the under solar 151 00:06:03,210 --> 00:06:01,479 system now in our own solar system we 152 00:06:04,379 --> 00:06:03,220 have examples of terrestrial planets so 153 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:04,389 we might think we know what we're 154 00:06:07,529 --> 00:06:05,289 talking about when we talk about 155 00:06:09,779 --> 00:06:07,539 terrestrial planets but as our colleague 156 00:06:12,810 --> 00:06:09,789 here on the VP l2 of an effect Shaun 157 00:06:15,930 --> 00:06:12,820 Raymond and Tom Quinn working with John 158 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:15,940 Lumine have shown is that planets and 159 00:06:20,820 --> 00:06:17,770 planetary systems can come in a very 160 00:06:22,290 --> 00:06:20,830 wide range of characteristics and what 161 00:06:23,610 --> 00:06:22,300 we're showing here in this multicolored 162 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:23,620 plots are just a whole series of 163 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:25,930 simulations forming planets and what we 164 00:06:28,740 --> 00:06:27,490 see is that planets can form at 165 00:06:30,840 --> 00:06:28,750 different sizes different water 166 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:30,850 abundances different distances and so we 167 00:06:35,339 --> 00:06:33,010 expect to see that kind of diversity in 168 00:06:36,870 --> 00:06:35,349 the extrasolar planet population so we 169 00:06:38,730 --> 00:06:36,880 have to ask ourselves well how do we go 170 00:06:40,499 --> 00:06:38,740 about understand 171 00:06:42,029 --> 00:06:40,509 this potential diversity given that we 172 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:42,039 really only have three terrestrial 173 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:43,330 planets with atmospheres in our own 174 00:06:47,460 --> 00:06:45,370 planetary system and so the answer to 175 00:06:48,510 --> 00:06:47,470 that really is to go into the modeling 176 00:06:50,370 --> 00:06:48,520 arena 177 00:06:52,170 --> 00:06:50,380 we do take observations as well but 178 00:06:53,879 --> 00:06:52,180 again as I said we still don't have the 179 00:06:56,010 --> 00:06:53,889 sensitivity to get down to the true 180 00:07:00,210 --> 00:06:56,020 earth analogs yet even though we hope we 181 00:07:01,950 --> 00:07:00,220 will at some point so if you want to 182 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:01,960 learn more about extrasolar planets as I 183 00:07:05,460 --> 00:07:03,849 said we we attack this by modeling but 184 00:07:07,860 --> 00:07:05,470 you can also try and go out and take 185 00:07:09,779 --> 00:07:07,870 observations and so this is where we tie 186 00:07:11,430 --> 00:07:09,789 very strongly into NASA missions and 187 00:07:12,930 --> 00:07:11,440 that is that our work will be relevant 188 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:12,940 to both the Kepler mission and the 189 00:07:16,469 --> 00:07:14,530 terrestrial planet finder missions which 190 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:16,479 I'll talk about in a moment so Kepler 191 00:07:20,700 --> 00:07:18,370 successfully launched last month which 192 00:07:23,790 --> 00:07:20,710 was fantastic news and it is a mission 193 00:07:25,350 --> 00:07:23,800 that will stare at the sky non-stop for 194 00:07:27,510 --> 00:07:25,360 about four years monitoring the 195 00:07:29,070 --> 00:07:27,520 brightness of stars to check for planets 196 00:07:30,749 --> 00:07:29,080 that are passing in front of their 197 00:07:31,890 --> 00:07:30,759 parent star when the planet passes in 198 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:31,900 front of the star it causes the light 199 00:07:36,210 --> 00:07:34,690 from the planet to dim so we're able to 200 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:36,220 pick up these planets and this 201 00:07:40,620 --> 00:07:38,530 instrument should be able to find true 202 00:07:42,420 --> 00:07:40,630 earth analogs in fact earth-mass planets 203 00:07:44,310 --> 00:07:42,430 in earth earth-like orbits around their 204 00:07:45,540 --> 00:07:44,320 parent stars so we're very much looking 205 00:07:47,700 --> 00:07:45,550 forward to the results that will come 206 00:07:50,159 --> 00:07:47,710 from that mission the other mission that 207 00:07:51,839 --> 00:07:50,169 VPL is potentially relevant to are the 208 00:07:54,570 --> 00:07:51,849 concept missions of the terrestrial 209 00:07:58,080 --> 00:07:54,580 planet finder x' they have a counterpart 210 00:08:01,020 --> 00:07:58,090 a sister mission concept in europe the 211 00:08:03,719 --> 00:08:01,030 darwin isa mission but someday we hope 212 00:08:05,999 --> 00:08:03,729 in the next 10 to 20 years to fly very 213 00:08:08,159 --> 00:08:06,009 very powerful very large telescopes that 214 00:08:10,020 --> 00:08:08,169 will be able to detect light from 215 00:08:11,999 --> 00:08:10,030 extrasolar terrestrial planets or earth 216 00:08:15,390 --> 00:08:12,009 sized things and actually take that 217 00:08:17,070 --> 00:08:15,400 light and break it into a spectrum so 218 00:08:18,959 --> 00:08:17,080 that we can look at and analyze the 219 00:08:20,969 --> 00:08:18,969 environments and to search for possible 220 00:08:24,209 --> 00:08:20,979 signs of life on extrasolar terrestrial 221 00:08:26,249 --> 00:08:24,219 planets however there's a challenge to 222 00:08:27,330 --> 00:08:26,259 understanding an extrasolar planet and 223 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:27,340 that is because even with these 224 00:08:30,689 --> 00:08:29,050 incredibly powerful telescopes although 225 00:08:32,909 --> 00:08:30,699 it will see will be a pale blue dot 226 00:08:37,380 --> 00:08:32,919 essentially or a pale blue pixel as I've 227 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:37,390 shown graphically here so when we try 228 00:08:41,250 --> 00:08:39,250 and learn about extrasolar terrestrial 229 00:08:43,230 --> 00:08:41,260 planets we'll come across a bunch of 230 00:08:44,639 --> 00:08:43,240 problems one is that of course our solar 231 00:08:46,019 --> 00:08:44,649 system only contains a subset of 232 00:08:47,510 --> 00:08:46,029 possible planets so we really have to 233 00:08:49,470 --> 00:08:47,520 think about other possibilities 234 00:08:51,590 --> 00:08:49,480 everything we learn about the planet 235 00:08:52,910 --> 00:08:51,600 will be from this disk average data so 236 00:08:54,170 --> 00:08:52,920 everything we want to know about its 237 00:08:55,940 --> 00:08:54,180 environment and whether or not it has 238 00:08:57,890 --> 00:08:55,950 life in it is contained in this blue 239 00:08:59,480 --> 00:08:57,900 pixel and we have to from that blue 240 00:09:01,130 --> 00:08:59,490 pixel on the spectrum that we get from 241 00:09:03,770 --> 00:09:01,140 it disentangle all the characteristics 242 00:09:05,930 --> 00:09:03,780 of a planet whether or not the planet 243 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:05,940 has oceans continents and in fact a 244 00:09:10,790 --> 00:09:08,370 biosphere and we also have to forget 245 00:09:12,470 --> 00:09:10,800 that not to forget that clouds and dense 246 00:09:13,730 --> 00:09:12,480 atmospheres will limit our view at 247 00:09:15,560 --> 00:09:13,740 certain wavelengths so it's also 248 00:09:17,150 --> 00:09:15,570 important to try and figure out where in 249 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:17,160 the spectrum of the planet you might be 250 00:09:23,630 --> 00:09:20,850 best able to see what's going on so in a 251 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:23,640 nutshell what vpl does is our science is 252 00:09:26,750 --> 00:09:24,930 the search for have environments in life 253 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:26,760 beyond the solar system our approach is 254 00:09:29,930 --> 00:09:28,290 to use self-consistent models of 255 00:09:31,910 --> 00:09:29,940 planetary environments and to generate 256 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:31,920 spectra from those self-consistent 257 00:09:36,260 --> 00:09:34,890 environments our input to the models 258 00:09:37,940 --> 00:09:36,270 because we can't just make this map out 259 00:09:39,470 --> 00:09:37,950 of thin air even though you know 260 00:09:40,910 --> 00:09:39,480 theoreticians have a tendency to want to 261 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:40,920 do that but we try to keep ourselves 262 00:09:45,230 --> 00:09:43,170 honest by having input from field and 263 00:09:46,790 --> 00:09:45,240 laboratory work from planetary 264 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:46,800 observations and planets in our own 265 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:49,050 system and extrasolar planets and also 266 00:09:52,610 --> 00:09:50,370 to gather constraints from the 267 00:09:54,050 --> 00:09:52,620 geological and biological records so in 268 00:09:55,910 --> 00:09:54,060 many ways this is where the rest of the 269 00:09:57,980 --> 00:09:55,920 NAI comes in you can help to keep us 270 00:10:00,110 --> 00:09:57,990 honest by doing the work that you would 271 00:10:01,790 --> 00:10:00,120 do but just keeping in the back of your 272 00:10:03,380 --> 00:10:01,800 mind when you discover something think 273 00:10:05,980 --> 00:10:03,390 hey I wonder if the VPL could use this 274 00:10:09,380 --> 00:10:05,990 because anything you can learn about 275 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:09,390 microbial life metabolisms the gases 276 00:10:12,500 --> 00:10:11,730 that are given off and also constraints 277 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:12,510 from the geological and biological 278 00:10:17,540 --> 00:10:14,730 records can in fact help us with our 279 00:10:20,210 --> 00:10:17,550 modelling effort and so our output then 280 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:20,220 our models that allow us to provide 281 00:10:23,870 --> 00:10:21,930 improved understanding of past 282 00:10:27,980 --> 00:10:23,880 environments that cannot yet be directly 283 00:10:29,150 --> 00:10:27,990 observed so the early Earth as well as 284 00:10:31,070 --> 00:10:29,160 extrasolar terrestrial planet 285 00:10:32,990 --> 00:10:31,080 environments and from that we generate 286 00:10:34,940 --> 00:10:33,000 synthetic planetary spectra and look at 287 00:10:37,100 --> 00:10:34,950 the detectability of existing and novel 288 00:10:38,660 --> 00:10:37,110 bio signatures as an aid to these very 289 00:10:40,970 --> 00:10:38,670 large telescopes that will one day be 290 00:10:45,170 --> 00:10:40,980 designed and flown to look for these 291 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:45,180 sorts of things so that was the BPL and 292 00:10:48,590 --> 00:10:46,290 so now I'm going to talk a little bit 293 00:10:50,180 --> 00:10:48,600 about what we mean by signs of life 294 00:10:51,860 --> 00:10:50,190 looking for them in extrasolar planets 295 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:51,870 before I launch into or what we're 296 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:53,730 actually doing in our individual tasks 297 00:10:55,940 --> 00:10:54,930 so this is just a little bit of 298 00:10:58,580 --> 00:10:55,950 background science to help you 299 00:11:00,080 --> 00:10:58,590 understand what comes afterwards so what 300 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:00,090 am I talking about recognizing whether a 301 00:11:03,790 --> 00:11:02,130 dim distant pale blue dot is a habitable 302 00:11:07,060 --> 00:11:03,800 planet there's a number of things that 303 00:11:08,860 --> 00:11:07,070 can do astronomically to do that one is 304 00:11:10,630 --> 00:11:08,870 we can look at the planetary system 305 00:11:12,430 --> 00:11:10,640 environmental characteristics so what 306 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:12,440 that means is are there other planets in 307 00:11:17,290 --> 00:11:15,010 the system can we learn something about 308 00:11:18,759 --> 00:11:17,300 the planet we're looking at its mass and 309 00:11:20,980 --> 00:11:18,769 orbital parameters and its interaction 310 00:11:22,060 --> 00:11:20,990 with the other planets in the system to 311 00:11:24,069 --> 00:11:22,070 understand whether or not it could 312 00:11:26,290 --> 00:11:24,079 potentially be habitable and so to do 313 00:11:28,180 --> 00:11:26,300 this we need what we call dynamicists 314 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:28,190 people who actually understand the 315 00:11:30,940 --> 00:11:29,810 evolution of planetary orbits and can 316 00:11:32,050 --> 00:11:30,950 look at the interaction the 317 00:11:34,300 --> 00:11:32,060 gravitational interaction between 318 00:11:36,340 --> 00:11:34,310 planets in a particular system and so 319 00:11:38,620 --> 00:11:36,350 the VPL has dynamicists onboard as well 320 00:11:40,269 --> 00:11:38,630 to do that we can also look at the 321 00:11:42,190 --> 00:11:40,279 photometric characteristics of the 322 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:42,200 planet and by photometry we just mean to 323 00:11:46,030 --> 00:11:43,970 measure light so we're just looking at 324 00:11:48,730 --> 00:11:46,040 the brightness of the planet in 325 00:11:50,290 --> 00:11:48,740 different colors and what I'll show 326 00:11:52,269 --> 00:11:50,300 today is what you can learn from that 327 00:11:54,519 --> 00:11:52,279 using a specific example of looking at 328 00:11:55,930 --> 00:11:54,529 the earth and but of course the most 329 00:11:57,579 --> 00:11:55,940 powerful way of determining what an 330 00:11:59,440 --> 00:11:57,589 environment is like over a great 331 00:12:01,150 --> 00:11:59,450 distance will be through a spectrum 332 00:12:03,310 --> 00:12:01,160 using spectroscopy taking a light from 333 00:12:04,930 --> 00:12:03,320 the parent object breaking evidence into 334 00:12:06,519 --> 00:12:04,940 its constituent wavelengths and looking 335 00:12:08,470 --> 00:12:06,529 for signatures from the surface and the 336 00:12:10,990 --> 00:12:08,480 atmosphere of the planet and potentially 337 00:12:12,430 --> 00:12:11,000 from its biosphere and ultimately all of 338 00:12:14,410 --> 00:12:12,440 these techniques have described our 339 00:12:15,970 --> 00:12:14,420 observational techniques but the other 340 00:12:17,620 --> 00:12:15,980 thing we're going to need to be able to 341 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:17,630 interpret and to recognize whether or 342 00:12:21,970 --> 00:12:19,370 not our planet is habitable artifact 343 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:21,980 models and one of the the I guess the 344 00:12:25,660 --> 00:12:24,050 starkest examples of this is the holy 345 00:12:27,190 --> 00:12:25,670 grail of habitability when we talk about 346 00:12:28,870 --> 00:12:27,200 a have real extrasolar planet 347 00:12:33,010 --> 00:12:28,880 we would like to see liquid water on the 348 00:12:34,269 --> 00:12:33,020 surface of that planet and in fact to be 349 00:12:35,889 --> 00:12:34,279 able to have liquid water you need 350 00:12:37,210 --> 00:12:35,899 certain surface conditions including a 351 00:12:39,490 --> 00:12:37,220 surface temperature above the freezing 352 00:12:41,350 --> 00:12:39,500 point of water and that may be very 353 00:12:42,910 --> 00:12:41,360 difficult to directly observe it turns 354 00:12:44,620 --> 00:12:42,920 out that being able to measure a 355 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:44,630 temperature from the planet you don't 356 00:12:47,889 --> 00:12:46,250 necessarily get the surface temperature 357 00:12:50,079 --> 00:12:47,899 you get a temperature up somewhere in 358 00:12:51,819 --> 00:12:50,089 the atmosphere and so to be able to 359 00:12:53,319 --> 00:12:51,829 figure out the greenhouse warming that 360 00:12:54,850 --> 00:12:53,329 affects the actual surface temperature 361 00:12:57,490 --> 00:12:54,860 of the planet you will need climate 362 00:12:58,990 --> 00:12:57,500 models to be able to do that so even in 363 00:13:00,430 --> 00:12:59,000 this very basic of all measurements 364 00:13:02,199 --> 00:13:00,440 what's the surface temperature like 365 00:13:05,500 --> 00:13:02,209 could this thing be habitable we will 366 00:13:07,090 --> 00:13:05,510 need both models and observations so I'm 367 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:07,100 just going to show you a few terrestrial 368 00:13:10,389 --> 00:13:08,810 planet spectra just very quickly just to 369 00:13:12,610 --> 00:13:10,399 give you a feel for the type of things 370 00:13:14,740 --> 00:13:12,620 that we're talking about these are model 371 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:14,750 spectra of Venus Earth and Mars and I 372 00:13:16,530 --> 00:13:16,130 just want you to see that you know the 373 00:13:18,030 --> 00:13:16,540 Earth's 374 00:13:19,410 --> 00:13:18,040 looks quite different to the Venus and 375 00:13:21,540 --> 00:13:19,420 Mars spectrum as a lot more weirdos a 376 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:21,550 lot more activity going on we can see a 377 00:13:25,950 --> 00:13:23,770 lot more greenhouse gases actually in 378 00:13:27,540 --> 00:13:25,960 its spectrum overall even though we can 379 00:13:30,180 --> 00:13:27,550 see that Venus and Mars are dominated by 380 00:13:31,590 --> 00:13:30,190 co2 but these are the sorts of things 381 00:13:32,910 --> 00:13:31,600 we're talking about looking for looking 382 00:13:34,710 --> 00:13:32,920 at these spectra and seeing whether we 383 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:34,720 can cool a greenhouse gases and signs of 384 00:13:38,370 --> 00:13:36,610 life on the earth of course abundant 385 00:13:42,180 --> 00:13:38,380 oxygen is a sign of life and we see that 386 00:13:43,530 --> 00:13:42,190 at point 7 6 microns they're down in the 387 00:13:46,050 --> 00:13:43,540 and the shore would end on the earth 388 00:13:47,850 --> 00:13:46,060 spectrum you can also look in the mid 389 00:13:49,740 --> 00:13:47,860 infrared and so the celestial planet 390 00:13:52,680 --> 00:13:49,750 finder missions have been postulated to 391 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:52,690 fly with telescopic capability in both 392 00:13:57,420 --> 00:13:54,730 the visible and the mid infrared or one 393 00:13:59,550 --> 00:13:57,430 or the other but in the mid infrared we 394 00:14:00,990 --> 00:13:59,560 start to look at very valuable things 395 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:01,000 like carbon dioxide a very powerful 396 00:14:04,410 --> 00:14:03,010 greenhouse gas even present on the earth 397 00:14:05,340 --> 00:14:04,420 so even on a habitable planet we can 398 00:14:08,130 --> 00:14:05,350 pick that up there 399 00:14:09,750 --> 00:14:08,140 ozone again another proxies signature 400 00:14:12,030 --> 00:14:09,760 for life and also an ultraviolet shield 401 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:12,040 on the planet and then we can also see 402 00:14:15,810 --> 00:14:14,290 the short would end of the mid-infrared 403 00:14:18,300 --> 00:14:15,820 in that blue spectrum of the earth 404 00:14:20,250 --> 00:14:18,310 things like methane and nitrous oxide so 405 00:14:22,110 --> 00:14:20,260 we start to get bio signatures from 406 00:14:23,820 --> 00:14:22,120 alternative metabolisms other than 407 00:14:27,780 --> 00:14:23,830 oxygen at photosynthesis churning up 408 00:14:29,310 --> 00:14:27,790 there so what are the global signs of 409 00:14:31,650 --> 00:14:29,320 life we talked about what we can look at 410 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:31,660 to look for habitability you know using 411 00:14:35,670 --> 00:14:33,610 photometry we can search to see whether 412 00:14:37,500 --> 00:14:35,680 there's indications of an ocean on the 413 00:14:39,780 --> 00:14:37,510 planet is in spectrum we can look for 414 00:14:42,090 --> 00:14:39,790 greenhouse gases and trying to 415 00:14:43,290 --> 00:14:42,100 understand the surface temperature but 416 00:14:44,700 --> 00:14:43,300 through all of this we want to try and 417 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:44,710 understand whether or not we can pick up 418 00:14:48,330 --> 00:14:46,690 signs of life so I'm going to introduce 419 00:14:49,740 --> 00:14:48,340 the concept of astronomical bio 420 00:14:51,900 --> 00:14:49,750 signatures we've had a lot of talks 421 00:14:53,460 --> 00:14:51,910 already from team members about instant 422 00:14:54,690 --> 00:14:53,470 what we call institute bio signatures 423 00:14:56,370 --> 00:14:54,700 where's where you can take a lump of 424 00:14:57,930 --> 00:14:56,380 rock and look for sterols and other 425 00:15:00,810 --> 00:14:57,940 things that may be indications of life 426 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:00,820 in the rocket Istanbul biosignatures we 427 00:15:04,980 --> 00:15:02,770 have to try and determine if life exists 428 00:15:06,420 --> 00:15:04,990 over a distance of 10 parsecs and so 429 00:15:08,490 --> 00:15:06,430 what we're looking for a global scale 430 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:08,500 photometric spectral or temporal 431 00:15:12,780 --> 00:15:10,450 features or time varying features that 432 00:15:14,940 --> 00:15:12,790 are indicative of life and we know from 433 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:14,950 observing the earth that life can in 434 00:15:19,590 --> 00:15:16,810 fact provide a global scale modification 435 00:15:21,780 --> 00:15:19,600 of our atmosphere our surface and our 436 00:15:24,060 --> 00:15:21,790 appearance over time so we sort of just 437 00:15:26,700 --> 00:15:24,070 divide biocentrism these three different 438 00:15:28,230 --> 00:15:26,710 types of categories just like in Tsukuba 439 00:15:30,030 --> 00:15:28,240 ages though these astronomical 440 00:15:30,230 --> 00:15:30,040 biosignatures must always be identified 441 00:15:31,910 --> 00:15:30,240 in 442 00:15:32,780 --> 00:15:31,920 context to the planet or environment so 443 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:32,790 we have to understand that the 444 00:15:37,850 --> 00:15:35,250 environments like to be able to figure 445 00:15:39,740 --> 00:15:37,860 out whether we have and a true 446 00:15:43,269 --> 00:15:39,750 biosignature or just some product some 447 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:43,279 equilibrium product of a non-biological 448 00:15:46,519 --> 00:15:45,330 environment so for example the 449 00:15:48,500 --> 00:15:46,529 difference between Earth methane and 450 00:15:51,530 --> 00:15:48,510 Titan methane earth methane is seen in 451 00:15:53,630 --> 00:15:51,540 the presence of oxygen so there are 452 00:15:55,370 --> 00:15:53,640 known sinks for both of these gases on 453 00:15:57,050 --> 00:15:55,380 this planet and they have seen very 454 00:15:58,670 --> 00:15:57,060 strongly out of just out of equilibrium 455 00:16:01,190 --> 00:15:58,680 in what we call chemical disequilibrium 456 00:16:03,500 --> 00:16:01,200 that is indicative of a sign of life 457 00:16:05,810 --> 00:16:03,510 whereas I'm Titan for example the 458 00:16:08,660 --> 00:16:05,820 methane and ammonia we see there are 459 00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:08,670 really a characteristic of what the 460 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:10,290 planet formed with and are not 461 00:16:14,420 --> 00:16:12,930 considered to be signs of life I also 462 00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:14,430 want to just introduce the concept of 463 00:16:17,540 --> 00:16:16,050 anti biosignatures which is something I 464 00:16:20,690 --> 00:16:17,550 think that they demo a first came up 465 00:16:22,460 --> 00:16:20,700 with but this idea of a free lunch the 466 00:16:23,990 --> 00:16:22,470 in fact we can also look for anti virus 467 00:16:25,519 --> 00:16:24,000 signatures signs on a planet that there 468 00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:25,529 are abundant gases around that really 469 00:16:28,910 --> 00:16:26,970 life would have jumped on immediately if 470 00:16:30,350 --> 00:16:28,920 it possibly could and I know yuk Yuen 471 00:16:32,570 --> 00:16:30,360 often talks about this as the floating 472 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:32,580 $20 bills so where we can also 473 00:16:35,269 --> 00:16:33,930 potentially look for things that have 474 00:16:37,699 --> 00:16:35,279 build up in an atmosphere that would 475 00:16:40,060 --> 00:16:37,709 normally be consumed by life to let us 476 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:40,070 know that potentially life is not there 477 00:16:44,750 --> 00:16:43,410 so looking again spectroscopically if 478 00:16:46,130 --> 00:16:44,760 these things the signs of life in an 479 00:16:48,740 --> 00:16:46,140 atmosphere would be things like the 480 00:16:50,810 --> 00:16:48,750 simultaneous present presence of oxygen 481 00:16:53,150 --> 00:16:50,820 or ozone its proxy and methane and 482 00:16:56,199 --> 00:16:53,160 nitrous oxide I'm also showing just some 483 00:16:58,250 --> 00:16:56,209 habitability markers here co2 and water 484 00:17:00,519 --> 00:16:58,260 when you're talking about atmospheric 485 00:17:02,780 --> 00:17:00,529 biasing shows you really are looking at 486 00:17:04,130 --> 00:17:02,790 three different processes and this is 487 00:17:06,679 --> 00:17:04,140 something we have to worry about it and 488 00:17:08,510 --> 00:17:06,689 vpl to have a good atmosphere biasing 489 00:17:09,770 --> 00:17:08,520 turreted to find one or recognize one 490 00:17:11,419 --> 00:17:09,780 you need to know that there's a 491 00:17:12,919 --> 00:17:11,429 biological source for it so we care 492 00:17:14,870 --> 00:17:12,929 about what metabolisms are putting out 493 00:17:17,120 --> 00:17:14,880 you need to understand it's atmospheric 494 00:17:18,319 --> 00:17:17,130 lifetime on the planet to how long it 495 00:17:19,579 --> 00:17:18,329 hangs around in the atmosphere the 496 00:17:20,900 --> 00:17:19,589 longer it hangs around the more of it 497 00:17:23,569 --> 00:17:20,910 builds up the more likely we are to see 498 00:17:25,130 --> 00:17:23,579 it that Amstrad lifetime is a function 499 00:17:27,410 --> 00:17:25,140 of the interaction of the planet with 500 00:17:29,030 --> 00:17:27,420 its parent star as well as the planetary 501 00:17:30,890 --> 00:17:29,040 processes themselves a lot of 502 00:17:32,120 --> 00:17:30,900 photochemistry are still and driven so 503 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:32,130 we do also have to understand a lot 504 00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:34,170 about what the stars are like I'm sorry 505 00:17:37,130 --> 00:17:35,730 and I'll just get back the other thing 506 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:37,140 is that the BIOS signature should 507 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:40,290 produce a spectral feature and that 508 00:17:43,790 --> 00:17:42,450 isn't always a given and when we fly 509 00:17:45,380 --> 00:17:43,800 these telescopes we may have 510 00:17:47,060 --> 00:17:45,390 fairly limited wavelength ranges in 511 00:17:48,950 --> 00:17:47,070 which to work in so we always have to 512 00:17:50,660 --> 00:17:48,960 care too about what the impact of this 513 00:17:51,770 --> 00:17:50,670 gas is on the spectrum of the planet and 514 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:51,780 whether or not we would have to take 515 00:17:56,410 --> 00:17:55,770 ability to see it so we talked about 516 00:17:58,310 --> 00:17:56,420 oxygen 517 00:18:01,580 --> 00:17:58,320 photosynthesis that is sort of the 518 00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:01,590 classic metabolism that is considered to 519 00:18:06,290 --> 00:18:03,330 have biosensors that we can look for 520 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:06,300 things like oxygen and ozone but a vpl 521 00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:07,530 we are also concerned about other 522 00:18:11,390 --> 00:18:09,210 potential biosignatures things like 523 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:11,400 methane things like methyl chloride 524 00:18:15,620 --> 00:18:13,410 nitrous oxide which we can get from 525 00:18:17,750 --> 00:18:15,630 various sources even ammonia and certain 526 00:18:19,610 --> 00:18:17,760 instances can be a Meyer signature we 527 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:19,620 care about other methylated compounds 528 00:18:24,350 --> 00:18:22,530 and ultimately again here's where we 529 00:18:25,700 --> 00:18:24,360 turn to you and say hey please advise us 530 00:18:29,270 --> 00:18:25,710 if you have you know an interesting 531 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:29,280 metabolism that you think might alter 532 00:18:33,230 --> 00:18:31,770 the atmosphere in particular that's 533 00:18:35,890 --> 00:18:33,240 that's something we would really like to 534 00:18:38,330 --> 00:18:35,900 know about from our fellow team members 535 00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:38,340 so that was a destroyed by stinkers the 536 00:18:41,270 --> 00:18:39,690 other biosignatures we can think over 537 00:18:42,500 --> 00:18:41,280 the surface biosignatures the most 538 00:18:44,810 --> 00:18:42,510 characteristic one is something called 539 00:18:47,090 --> 00:18:44,820 red edge and this is a rise in 540 00:18:49,700 --> 00:18:47,100 reflectivity longwood of about 0.7 541 00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:49,710 microns in vegetation which is due to a 542 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:51,330 combination of chlorophyll absorption 543 00:18:55,490 --> 00:18:52,770 and a change in the scattering 544 00:18:57,770 --> 00:18:55,500 properties of the leaf structure and 545 00:19:00,440 --> 00:18:57,780 that is what Landsat uses for example 546 00:19:02,150 --> 00:19:00,450 from from orbit to determine that the 547 00:19:04,280 --> 00:19:02,160 Brazilian rainforest is disappearing it 548 00:19:05,810 --> 00:19:04,290 uses a ratio between that rise and the 549 00:19:08,300 --> 00:19:05,820 chlorophyll absorption to tell where 550 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:08,310 vegetation is underneath it turns out we 551 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:10,530 could potentially use that on an 552 00:19:15,710 --> 00:19:13,650 extrasolar planet to look for vegetation 553 00:19:17,210 --> 00:19:15,720 signatures the only problem with looking 554 00:19:19,430 --> 00:19:17,220 for a vegetation signature in the disk 555 00:19:20,930 --> 00:19:19,440 average of a planet is that the 556 00:19:22,430 --> 00:19:20,940 vegetation itself may take up a very 557 00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:22,440 small fraction of the surface of the 558 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:24,210 planet and so that signature may be 559 00:19:28,460 --> 00:19:26,730 swamped by other characteristics of the 560 00:19:30,980 --> 00:19:28,470 planet including clouds in particular 561 00:19:33,050 --> 00:19:30,990 which both reflect a lot of visible 562 00:19:34,610 --> 00:19:33,060 radiation providing making it much more 563 00:19:35,870 --> 00:19:34,620 difficult to see the vegetation and of 564 00:19:38,270 --> 00:19:35,880 course also physically cover the 565 00:19:40,130 --> 00:19:38,280 vegetation up so what we have here is a 566 00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:40,140 simulation from the VPL that we've done 567 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:42,210 in the past just looking at the disk 568 00:19:45,470 --> 00:19:43,650 average spectrum of the earth when you 569 00:19:46,900 --> 00:19:45,480 see different views on the earth and I'm 570 00:19:51,110 --> 00:19:46,910 going to attempt to use the cursor here 571 00:19:54,530 --> 00:19:51,120 but oops blush okay I'm trying to center 572 00:19:56,030 --> 00:19:54,540 over the Pacific here close enough so 573 00:19:56,340 --> 00:19:56,040 what we're looking at here is if you 574 00:19:58,080 --> 00:19:56,350 look at 575 00:20:00,120 --> 00:19:58,090 spectrum on this plot this is actually a 576 00:20:02,190 --> 00:20:00,130 spectrum of the disc averaged Pacific 577 00:20:05,100 --> 00:20:02,200 earth and you can see that there's very 578 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:05,110 little rise in radiation between that 579 00:20:11,039 --> 00:20:08,650 blue area and the pink area whereas if 580 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:11,049 you look at the Green Line for example 581 00:20:15,930 --> 00:20:13,690 which is showing you the area of the 582 00:20:18,659 --> 00:20:15,940 Americas and over Brazil you can see a 583 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:18,669 very sharp rise a very sharp difference 584 00:20:27,120 --> 00:20:24,010 between the radiations seen here for the 585 00:20:29,220 --> 00:20:27,130 for the for the Pacific and here when we 586 00:20:30,210 --> 00:20:29,230 go over Brazil now we were cheating here 587 00:20:32,310 --> 00:20:30,220 this is one of our three-dimensional 588 00:20:35,010 --> 00:20:32,320 models we took all the clouds away so we 589 00:20:37,110 --> 00:20:35,020 showed you the maximum effect of the red 590 00:20:38,940 --> 00:20:37,120 edge even in the disk average if we add 591 00:20:41,430 --> 00:20:38,950 the clouds back in that effect drops to 592 00:20:43,590 --> 00:20:41,440 about a 1 or 2% effect making it quite 593 00:20:44,399 --> 00:20:43,600 difficult to observe not impossible but 594 00:20:46,789 --> 00:20:44,409 certainly one of the more challenging 595 00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:46,799 bio signatures for an extrasolar planet 596 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:48,970 the other type of biosignature we're 597 00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:50,850 concerned with is temporal variability 598 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:54,010 so how things change on a planet as a 599 00:20:57,390 --> 00:20:55,450 function of seasons and whether or not 600 00:20:59,460 --> 00:20:57,400 that is indicative of life processes and 601 00:21:01,320 --> 00:20:59,470 here is an example we actually showed 602 00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:01,330 the annual variation in carbon dioxide 603 00:21:07,230 --> 00:21:04,450 and the ominous staccato rise in carbon 604 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:07,240 dioxide over time so these these bumps 605 00:21:11,190 --> 00:21:08,530 and Wiggles you're seeing are in fact 606 00:21:12,630 --> 00:21:11,200 the changes in co2 now co2 can be 607 00:21:14,070 --> 00:21:12,640 produced by volcanoes which is an 608 00:21:17,310 --> 00:21:14,080 abiotic process but you don't normally 609 00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:17,320 expect volcanoes to be seasonal so we 610 00:21:21,330 --> 00:21:19,570 could monitor a planet over time to try 611 00:21:22,380 --> 00:21:21,340 and see if any of these particular gases 612 00:21:26,580 --> 00:21:22,390 that are potentially produced by 613 00:21:27,659 --> 00:21:26,590 metabolism modified with seasons so I'm 614 00:21:30,390 --> 00:21:27,669 now going to start talking about what 615 00:21:32,970 --> 00:21:30,400 the VPO does that was an overview of 616 00:21:35,090 --> 00:21:32,980 biosignatures but essentially at the 617 00:21:37,590 --> 00:21:35,100 heart of what we do is we take models 618 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:37,600 that can be used to describe planetary 619 00:21:41,190 --> 00:21:39,490 environments and also we use models that 620 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:41,200 are used for planet formation or to 621 00:21:44,399 --> 00:21:42,730 describe the evolution of chemistry in a 622 00:21:47,340 --> 00:21:44,409 protoplanetary disk so we go back that 623 00:21:50,669 --> 00:21:47,350 far but but principally what we use our 624 00:21:52,710 --> 00:21:50,679 models of extrasolar planet environments 625 00:21:55,980 --> 00:21:52,720 that take into account photo chemistry 626 00:21:57,539 --> 00:21:55,990 and climate on that particular planet so 627 00:21:59,669 --> 00:21:57,549 climate tells us about the temperature 628 00:22:01,620 --> 00:21:59,679 and pressure distribution within the 629 00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:01,630 atmosphere and the photochemical models 630 00:22:05,490 --> 00:22:02,890 tell us about the vertical distribution 631 00:22:07,169 --> 00:22:05,500 of gases in the atmosphere and we can 632 00:22:09,060 --> 00:22:07,179 couple these two models together so they 633 00:22:10,050 --> 00:22:09,070 can talk to each other and come to a 634 00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:10,060 self-consistent 635 00:22:13,110 --> 00:22:11,770 Librium so that the gases in the 636 00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:13,120 atmosphere and the temperature and 637 00:22:17,370 --> 00:22:15,610 pressure are all consistent with each 638 00:22:19,500 --> 00:22:17,380 other and we're not creating you know 639 00:22:21,150 --> 00:22:19,510 what I call Frankenstein planets where 640 00:22:22,230 --> 00:22:21,160 you just pop things together and hope 641 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:22,240 that all the bits and pieces will 642 00:22:26,310 --> 00:22:24,490 actually stick and hold in this case we 643 00:22:27,900 --> 00:22:26,320 really do allow these things to interact 644 00:22:29,310 --> 00:22:27,910 with each other come to equilibrium and 645 00:22:31,230 --> 00:22:29,320 give us something where for example 646 00:22:33,270 --> 00:22:31,240 warming in the stratosphere is governed 647 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:33,280 by how much ozone is actually there for 648 00:22:37,470 --> 00:22:35,530 example so we used a couple climate 649 00:22:40,260 --> 00:22:37,480 chemical models and then once we have 650 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:40,270 our our atmosphere and by the way we can 651 00:22:45,510 --> 00:22:42,730 also lose gases out of the top and we 652 00:22:47,310 --> 00:22:45,520 can feed fluxes of gases into the bottom 653 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:47,320 of the atmosphere via the surface from 654 00:22:51,750 --> 00:22:49,090 either volcanic or biological processes 655 00:22:53,670 --> 00:22:51,760 once we have these models are in 656 00:22:55,170 --> 00:22:53,680 equilibrium and we have or close as 657 00:22:57,240 --> 00:22:55,180 close to equilibriums one can get in 658 00:22:59,940 --> 00:22:57,250 this kind of situation we can then 659 00:23:02,340 --> 00:22:59,950 produce spectra of them and have a look 660 00:23:04,860 --> 00:23:02,350 at what they look like also around stars 661 00:23:07,050 --> 00:23:04,870 of different spectral type so we can 662 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:07,060 take our our planet in this case we 663 00:23:11,910 --> 00:23:09,730 often take the earth we take out our G 664 00:23:14,070 --> 00:23:11,920 star throw that away replace it with an 665 00:23:16,380 --> 00:23:14,080 F star hütter star than the earth or an 666 00:23:18,180 --> 00:23:16,390 M star much cooler star and look at how 667 00:23:19,740 --> 00:23:18,190 the radiation coming from the star 668 00:23:22,050 --> 00:23:19,750 interacts with the photochemistry and 669 00:23:24,660 --> 00:23:22,060 the climate of that planet to tell us 670 00:23:26,910 --> 00:23:24,670 what kind of an end result of atmosphere 671 00:23:28,650 --> 00:23:26,920 we would have and ultimately how does 672 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:28,660 that change the detectability of certain 673 00:23:33,150 --> 00:23:29,770 things we would normally take for 674 00:23:34,590 --> 00:23:33,160 granted like ozone for example and I 675 00:23:36,570 --> 00:23:34,600 guess what we're showing down in this 676 00:23:39,450 --> 00:23:36,580 plot here if I can move my cursor 677 00:23:41,970 --> 00:23:39,460 without the whiplash we go down in this 678 00:23:43,770 --> 00:23:41,980 plot here the spectra this was one case 679 00:23:45,690 --> 00:23:43,780 where we actually took an earth-like 680 00:23:47,580 --> 00:23:45,700 planet put it around an F star and 681 00:23:49,170 --> 00:23:47,590 discovered that in fact ozone was less 682 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:49,180 detectable even though we had produced 683 00:23:52,020 --> 00:23:50,890 more of it and that was due to an 684 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:52,030 interaction between the actual 685 00:23:55,380 --> 00:23:53,650 temperature structure in the atmosphere 686 00:23:57,450 --> 00:23:55,390 and the amount of ozone available and 687 00:23:58,890 --> 00:23:57,460 that was not an intuitive results but 688 00:24:00,630 --> 00:23:58,900 only through the modeling we discovered 689 00:24:04,130 --> 00:24:00,640 that oh yes with more ozone it's 690 00:24:10,740 --> 00:24:07,740 so the VPL for D which is our second 691 00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:10,750 incarnation really is built around a 692 00:24:14,850 --> 00:24:12,490 series of nested models these couple of 693 00:24:16,860 --> 00:24:14,860 climate chemical models the fluxes that 694 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:16,870 feed into them from the bottom of the 695 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:19,090 atmosphere and the loss from the top of 696 00:24:22,830 --> 00:24:21,010 the atmosphere we have what we call an 697 00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:22,840 abiotic planet model which doesn't have 698 00:24:24,390 --> 00:24:23,290 a bias 699 00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:24,400 very net where we really concern 700 00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:25,810 ourselves more with the habitability of 701 00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:28,450 the planet without life on it and then 702 00:24:32,430 --> 00:24:30,490 we have a suite of models which fall 703 00:24:34,170 --> 00:24:32,440 under the living planet model where we 704 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:34,180 actually have a biosphere interacting 705 00:24:39,090 --> 00:24:37,090 with the environment and in all of these 706 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:39,100 we also need stellar spectra as input 707 00:24:45,270 --> 00:24:42,450 and also information on molecular 708 00:24:47,310 --> 00:24:45,280 characteristics so absorption 709 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:47,320 coefficients where something absorbs how 710 00:24:51,990 --> 00:24:49,090 strongly it absorbs in the atmosphere 711 00:24:53,970 --> 00:24:52,000 and just in the lab so our research 712 00:24:55,380 --> 00:24:53,980 objectives are to characterize 713 00:24:57,180 --> 00:24:55,390 habitability and biosignatures for an 714 00:24:58,590 --> 00:24:57,190 earth-like planet to understand the 715 00:24:59,880 --> 00:24:58,600 climate and biosignatures of the earth 716 00:25:01,620 --> 00:24:59,890 through time because again that's an 717 00:25:04,350 --> 00:25:01,630 example of a habitable planet that's 718 00:25:06,270 --> 00:25:04,360 actually inhabited to look at extrasolar 719 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:06,280 terrestrial planet environments with the 720 00:25:09,870 --> 00:25:08,170 the key to looking at the limits of 721 00:25:11,550 --> 00:25:09,880 habitability and also to concern 722 00:25:13,590 --> 00:25:11,560 ourselves with the generation of false 723 00:25:15,660 --> 00:25:13,600 positives signatures that come from an 724 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:15,670 abiotic planet that might mimic the 725 00:25:19,020 --> 00:25:16,810 signs of life that we think we 726 00:25:20,730 --> 00:25:19,030 understand we look at the impact of life 727 00:25:22,410 --> 00:25:20,740 on terrestrial planet environments and 728 00:25:24,570 --> 00:25:22,420 the detectability of bio signatures and 729 00:25:26,460 --> 00:25:24,580 ultimately at the end of it because we 730 00:25:27,780 --> 00:25:26,470 want this work to be relevant to TPF and 731 00:25:29,970 --> 00:25:27,790 other planet detection and 732 00:25:31,290 --> 00:25:29,980 characterization missions we look at 733 00:25:33,330 --> 00:25:31,300 what we need to actually characterize 734 00:25:34,710 --> 00:25:33,340 extrasolar terrestrial planets the 735 00:25:36,420 --> 00:25:34,720 required measurements we might have to 736 00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:36,430 make and the data analysis that we would 737 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:39,970 have to do so those objectives map on to 738 00:25:44,250 --> 00:25:42,610 five basic tasks the earth through a 739 00:25:47,460 --> 00:25:44,260 year the earth through time the abiotic 740 00:25:48,780 --> 00:25:47,470 planet and the living planet and they 741 00:25:51,030 --> 00:25:48,790 all feed through this thing called the 742 00:25:53,130 --> 00:25:51,040 observer which is our modeling system 743 00:25:54,780 --> 00:25:53,140 that allows us to transform our 744 00:25:58,260 --> 00:25:54,790 scientific results into something that 745 00:25:59,640 --> 00:25:58,270 might be useful to telescope planners so 746 00:26:02,280 --> 00:25:59,650 I'm going to go through the tasks now in 747 00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:02,290 the second half of this talk our first 748 00:26:06,420 --> 00:26:04,810 task is the earth through a year so 749 00:26:08,130 --> 00:26:06,430 again we want to understand bias 750 00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:08,140 nature's best place to go really is the 751 00:26:12,270 --> 00:26:10,570 planet that has them and so when we 752 00:26:14,940 --> 00:26:12,280 initially envisage this task it was just 753 00:26:17,490 --> 00:26:14,950 vpl alone but since we've been funded 754 00:26:19,980 --> 00:26:17,500 another mission was under the matter's 755 00:26:21,660 --> 00:26:19,990 epic reuse of the Deep Impact spacecraft 756 00:26:23,610 --> 00:26:21,670 which is actually observing the Earth 757 00:26:25,830 --> 00:26:23,620 from space so we now have a very strong 758 00:26:29,460 --> 00:26:25,840 collaboration between VPL and the air 759 00:26:31,830 --> 00:26:29,470 park which is now epoxy science team to 760 00:26:33,750 --> 00:26:31,840 use the VPL models to analyze the data 761 00:26:37,180 --> 00:26:33,760 that's coming from this spacecraft 762 00:26:38,770 --> 00:26:37,190 observing the earth so in this task 763 00:26:40,270 --> 00:26:38,780 we use 3-dimensional especially 764 00:26:42,610 --> 00:26:40,280 especially resolved models of the earth 765 00:26:43,690 --> 00:26:42,620 so we can take the earth and in fact 766 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:43,700 simulate what it would look like 767 00:26:49,390 --> 00:26:46,730 spectroscopically by feeding in actual 768 00:26:51,010 --> 00:26:49,400 earth observations on a given day and 769 00:26:53,190 --> 00:26:51,020 using a radiative transfer model to 770 00:26:55,780 --> 00:26:53,200 generate spectra of the of the planet 771 00:26:57,700 --> 00:26:55,790 we've been doing upgrades on that 772 00:27:01,300 --> 00:26:57,710 particular model which we brought over 773 00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:01,310 from our first round is the VP L so we 774 00:27:06,670 --> 00:27:04,610 are I've upgraded it to use an ocean 775 00:27:08,890 --> 00:27:06,680 reflectance model cuts month model to 776 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:08,900 simulate Sun glint on the on the earth 777 00:27:13,360 --> 00:27:11,450 we're in the process of putting in 778 00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:13,370 polarization capability as well those 779 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:14,210 people are now thinking about 780 00:27:20,350 --> 00:27:17,210 polarization biosignatures for 781 00:27:22,120 --> 00:27:20,360 extrasolar planets our grad student here 782 00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:22,130 ty robinson has expanded the surface 783 00:27:25,090 --> 00:27:23,570 spatial resolution providing us with 784 00:27:26,890 --> 00:27:25,100 more land surfaces so this is a better 785 00:27:29,230 --> 00:27:26,900 model and all of this really is driven 786 00:27:31,540 --> 00:27:29,240 by trying to validate the model against 787 00:27:33,190 --> 00:27:31,550 the EPOXI data we've been improving 788 00:27:36,100 --> 00:27:33,200 optical properties for carbon dioxide 789 00:27:37,930 --> 00:27:36,110 methane and oxygen because we need those 790 00:27:39,130 --> 00:27:37,940 to simulate what we see from the earth 791 00:27:40,870 --> 00:27:39,140 but they're also important for our 792 00:27:44,230 --> 00:27:40,880 modeling overall for terrestrial planets 793 00:27:46,330 --> 00:27:44,240 and Javier at JPL has been working on 794 00:27:48,070 --> 00:27:46,340 adding non LTE to already a to transform 795 00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:48,080 a model as well so we can actually do a 796 00:27:52,120 --> 00:27:50,690 raw ray and other processes and better 797 00:27:54,190 --> 00:27:52,130 understand some of the things that drive 798 00:27:56,410 --> 00:27:54,200 atmospheric escape so all of these 799 00:27:57,850 --> 00:27:56,420 additions to the model on effect impact 800 00:28:00,610 --> 00:27:57,860 other tasks that we're working on as 801 00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:00,620 well so in the earth through a year the 802 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:02,450 current components are involved this 803 00:28:07,420 --> 00:28:05,090 model validation of the EPOXI data I 804 00:28:08,950 --> 00:28:07,430 want to say that the EPOXI data set is 805 00:28:10,780 --> 00:28:08,960 very nice we've used the EPOXI 806 00:28:13,660 --> 00:28:10,790 spacecraft from a distance of about 0.3 807 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:13,670 au and closer to look at the earth and 808 00:28:18,670 --> 00:28:15,410 get time-resolved multiwave and 809 00:28:20,290 --> 00:28:18,680 photometry to get this hemispherical e 810 00:28:22,620 --> 00:28:20,300 average near infrared spectroscopy so I 811 00:28:25,300 --> 00:28:22,630 can search for those time-dependent 812 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:25,310 signatures of variability and methane 813 00:28:29,230 --> 00:28:27,770 and n co2 over seasons we have seasonal 814 00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:29,240 observations we have the earth observed 815 00:28:33,100 --> 00:28:31,010 in several seasons we have both 816 00:28:35,170 --> 00:28:33,110 equatorial and polar views now of the 817 00:28:36,810 --> 00:28:35,180 planet and we were able to as you can 818 00:28:38,650 --> 00:28:36,820 see in this graphic luckily 819 00:28:41,170 --> 00:28:38,660 serendipitously picked up a lunar 820 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:41,180 transit of the moon across the earth so 821 00:28:46,510 --> 00:28:43,010 we can also study a terrestrial planet 822 00:28:48,310 --> 00:28:46,520 undergoing its own transit so at the 823 00:28:49,470 --> 00:28:48,320 moment we are using these datasets to 824 00:28:51,539 --> 00:28:49,480 model and understand 825 00:28:52,859 --> 00:28:51,549 the detectability of things like ocean 826 00:28:54,330 --> 00:28:52,869 glints that would be a direct way of 827 00:28:56,220 --> 00:28:54,340 detecting whether or not a planet has 828 00:28:58,590 --> 00:28:56,230 liquid water on its surface to look at 829 00:29:00,570 --> 00:28:58,600 surface types and just look at the 830 00:29:02,129 --> 00:29:00,580 seasonal gas variations how well we can 831 00:29:04,649 --> 00:29:02,139 pick these different characteristics out 832 00:29:06,810 --> 00:29:04,659 of the planet so here's just to give you 833 00:29:08,519 --> 00:29:06,820 an example of some of the datasets we 834 00:29:11,009 --> 00:29:08,529 have so these are observations taken by 835 00:29:15,629 --> 00:29:11,019 epoxy and this mission by the way is PID 836 00:29:17,909 --> 00:29:15,639 by Drake Demi out of Goddard and so what 837 00:29:19,409 --> 00:29:17,919 we have here are light curves actually 838 00:29:21,090 --> 00:29:19,419 so this is the brightness of the planet 839 00:29:25,220 --> 00:29:21,100 over time and a bunch of different 840 00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:25,230 wavelengths team members working here at 841 00:29:29,879 --> 00:29:27,850 the U dub of actually taken those light 842 00:29:31,799 --> 00:29:29,889 curves and used a principle component 843 00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:31,809 analysis to pull out to what we call 844 00:29:36,869 --> 00:29:34,690 eigenvectors to characteristic spectra 845 00:29:38,399 --> 00:29:36,879 that if we take these two spectra and 846 00:29:41,070 --> 00:29:38,409 just add them together in components 847 00:29:42,330 --> 00:29:41,080 seem to explain a lot of the behavior we 848 00:29:44,759 --> 00:29:42,340 see in the light curves at different 849 00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:44,769 wavelengths and the two eigen spectra 850 00:29:49,529 --> 00:29:46,330 that we pulled out with no a priori 851 00:29:50,580 --> 00:29:49,539 knowledge of what we were looking at we 852 00:29:53,279 --> 00:29:50,590 have to keep forgetting we're looking at 853 00:29:55,109 --> 00:29:53,289 the earth actually produced spectra that 854 00:29:57,239 --> 00:29:55,119 look very characteristic of an ocean and 855 00:29:59,129 --> 00:29:57,249 of land surfaces so you can see in the 856 00:30:01,289 --> 00:29:59,139 top plot there the blue curve is an 857 00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:01,299 ocean curve the red one as land surfaces 858 00:30:05,849 --> 00:30:03,970 and below it our actual spectra of 859 00:30:07,499 --> 00:30:05,859 oceans and land surfaces in red and blue 860 00:30:09,239 --> 00:30:07,509 so you can see that the eigen spectra we 861 00:30:11,639 --> 00:30:09,249 picked out were pretty characteristic 862 00:30:13,470 --> 00:30:11,649 and so what we're able to do is having 863 00:30:15,749 --> 00:30:13,480 picked those out we can then do this map 864 00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:15,759 that you see down below the actual earth 865 00:30:21,749 --> 00:30:19,090 projection here this map which actually 866 00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:21,759 tells us when we see more ocean and more 867 00:30:26,549 --> 00:30:24,850 land on this planet and what we can 868 00:30:29,609 --> 00:30:26,559 point out here which I think was very 869 00:30:31,499 --> 00:30:29,619 exciting is that we actually do we are 870 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:31,509 able to map the position of the Atlantic 871 00:30:35,879 --> 00:30:33,730 and the Pacific just using time-resolved 872 00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:35,889 photometry so this is an example of the 873 00:30:39,509 --> 00:30:37,690 sort of capability when we have either 874 00:30:41,190 --> 00:30:39,519 data or models looking at the 875 00:30:43,019 --> 00:30:41,200 detectability of these things even if 876 00:30:44,669 --> 00:30:43,029 they all we have is this disc average 877 00:30:49,499 --> 00:30:44,679 light curve of the planet the disc 878 00:30:51,779 --> 00:30:49,509 average photometry okay so our future 879 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:51,789 work is looking at the earth through a 880 00:30:56,909 --> 00:30:54,730 year this graphic down here just shows 881 00:30:59,369 --> 00:30:56,919 an example of the the actual vpl earth 882 00:31:01,080 --> 00:30:59,379 model output for 450 nanometers so we 883 00:31:01,570 --> 00:31:01,090 can create artificial views of the earth 884 00:31:03,940 --> 00:31:01,580 on 885 00:31:07,330 --> 00:31:03,950 and day we actually fed into this earth 886 00:31:10,090 --> 00:31:07,340 model data equals modus and airs cloud 887 00:31:11,950 --> 00:31:10,100 information and for comparison you can 888 00:31:13,990 --> 00:31:11,960 see the EPOXI observation taken on the 889 00:31:15,490 --> 00:31:14,000 same day at the same wavelength we're 890 00:31:17,350 --> 00:31:15,500 not quite getting the clouds right at 891 00:31:18,970 --> 00:31:17,360 the moment and we're working on better 892 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:18,980 understanding how we're using our input 893 00:31:24,490 --> 00:31:22,370 data and just improving our model 894 00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:24,500 overall with its sensitivity so this is 895 00:31:27,910 --> 00:31:25,850 what we're planning to do in the future 896 00:31:29,710 --> 00:31:27,920 with this we would like to actually 897 00:31:31,450 --> 00:31:29,720 model the earth through an entire years 898 00:31:34,270 --> 00:31:31,460 orbit and use that essentially as a 899 00:31:36,100 --> 00:31:34,280 laboratory a set of data sets to help 900 00:31:37,690 --> 00:31:36,110 understand how detectable some of these 901 00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:37,700 characteristics are in the presence of 902 00:31:41,740 --> 00:31:39,770 realistic clouds so looking at 903 00:31:43,270 --> 00:31:41,750 atmospheric virus signatures or red edge 904 00:31:45,580 --> 00:31:43,280 biosignatures are in that particular 905 00:31:47,170 --> 00:31:45,590 case and also looking at how effective 906 00:31:49,570 --> 00:31:47,180 we are with different types of temporal 907 00:31:51,250 --> 00:31:49,580 sampling from the telescope at being 908 00:31:53,470 --> 00:31:51,260 able to pull out some of these fire 909 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:53,480 signatures on the earth and we've also 910 00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:54,650 been talking with the Venus Express 911 00:31:57,940 --> 00:31:56,450 folks who also have observations of the 912 00:32:00,160 --> 00:31:57,950 earth taken from a very great distance 913 00:32:04,330 --> 00:32:00,170 to help them out with their analysis as 914 00:32:06,130 --> 00:32:04,340 well using the VPL earth model so that's 915 00:32:07,570 --> 00:32:06,140 the earth so if we move on to task de 916 00:32:09,370 --> 00:32:07,580 the earth through time 917 00:32:12,340 --> 00:32:09,380 so here again we care about the earth 918 00:32:13,870 --> 00:32:12,350 through time because for 50 percent of 919 00:32:17,230 --> 00:32:13,880 the Earth's history we didn't have 920 00:32:19,330 --> 00:32:17,240 oxygen 'ok photosynthesis dominating the 921 00:32:22,300 --> 00:32:19,340 the atmospheric composition of this 922 00:32:24,460 --> 00:32:22,310 planet we had other biospheres and other 923 00:32:25,990 --> 00:32:24,470 potential bio signatures and in trying 924 00:32:28,030 --> 00:32:26,000 to understand those with the existing 925 00:32:29,620 --> 00:32:28,040 geological and biological records we can 926 00:32:31,660 --> 00:32:29,630 potentially get a handle on what we 927 00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:31,670 might see on planets that have not yet 928 00:32:39,070 --> 00:32:35,570 evolved and gone through an oxygen rise 929 00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:39,080 event as the earth did so the earth 930 00:32:42,790 --> 00:32:41,210 through time again combining couple 931 00:32:44,290 --> 00:32:42,800 climate and atmospheric chemistry models 932 00:32:46,150 --> 00:32:44,300 were also actually adding ocean models 933 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:46,160 as well in this round and we hope to get 934 00:32:49,540 --> 00:32:47,810 out the climate and disk average spectra 935 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:49,550 of terrestrial planets at several stages 936 00:32:55,330 --> 00:32:53,930 of evolution so what we do here we 937 00:32:57,130 --> 00:32:55,340 couple the climate chemistry ocean the 938 00:32:58,540 --> 00:32:57,140 ecosystem models we get our constraints 939 00:33:00,730 --> 00:32:58,550 from geological and biological records 940 00:33:01,570 --> 00:33:00,740 we are interested overall even though we 941 00:33:03,490 --> 00:33:01,580 haven't modeled all of these 942 00:33:05,140 --> 00:33:03,500 environments yet but we hope to we're 943 00:33:06,580 --> 00:33:05,150 interested in the D and the archean and 944 00:33:09,310 --> 00:33:06,590 proterozoic the Carboniferous and 945 00:33:10,750 --> 00:33:09,320 snowball events and also looking at the 946 00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:10,760 future earth what that would look like 947 00:33:14,950 --> 00:33:13,370 as well and from that we hope to get 948 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:14,960 spectra restful planets a different 949 00:33:19,330 --> 00:33:17,570 stages of development so our current 950 00:33:21,070 --> 00:33:19,340 projects are looking at the effects of 951 00:33:22,990 --> 00:33:21,080 enhanced volcanic sulfur gases we can 952 00:33:25,630 --> 00:33:23,000 have a software focus at the moment on 953 00:33:27,279 --> 00:33:25,640 both early Mars and early Earth we're 954 00:33:29,019 --> 00:33:27,289 looking at methane greenhouses in the 955 00:33:30,549 --> 00:33:29,029 Archaean trying to warm the early Earth 956 00:33:34,060 --> 00:33:30,559 and trying to understand what kept this 957 00:33:36,190 --> 00:33:34,070 planet habitable I'm over that time we 958 00:33:38,590 --> 00:33:36,200 also look at the haze implications for a 959 00:33:40,510 --> 00:33:38,600 software myth in the Archaean to look at 960 00:33:42,940 --> 00:33:40,520 the behavior of sulfur myth with haze in 961 00:33:45,279 --> 00:33:42,950 place some of our colleagues here at the 962 00:33:46,930 --> 00:33:45,289 Udo we're working on on actual using 963 00:33:48,730 --> 00:33:46,940 geological constraints to get our key 964 00:33:50,620 --> 00:33:48,740 and atmospheric pressure to be very 965 00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:50,630 exciting if that pans out so we're 966 00:33:55,930 --> 00:33:52,730 looking forward to those results we have 967 00:33:58,330 --> 00:33:55,940 people modeling microbial mats and also 968 00:33:59,919 --> 00:33:58,340 at Cal Tech Yeo Kyung and John Rogan 969 00:34:02,200 --> 00:33:59,929 virgin green are working on Earth's 970 00:34:04,750 --> 00:34:02,210 ecological sensitivity through the 21st 971 00:34:07,539 --> 00:34:04,760 century looking at the rise of carbon 972 00:34:09,070 --> 00:34:07,549 dioxide and climate change overall so 973 00:34:10,810 --> 00:34:09,080 our future projects include finishing 974 00:34:12,669 --> 00:34:10,820 off pretty much all of the above and 975 00:34:14,609 --> 00:34:12,679 also looking at the rise of oxygen with 976 00:34:16,810 --> 00:34:14,619 time-dependent photochemical models 977 00:34:19,030 --> 00:34:16,820 developing a coupled atmosphere ocean 978 00:34:20,649 --> 00:34:19,040 model for the Archean which is I think 979 00:34:23,290 --> 00:34:20,659 being led at the moment by Sean Sean 980 00:34:25,510 --> 00:34:23,300 Goldman with mark Clair and also Watson 981 00:34:28,720 --> 00:34:25,520 Greta Craig at Goddard and Kevin's Omni 982 00:34:30,310 --> 00:34:28,730 at Ames involved in that too and also 983 00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:30,320 team members looking at managing 984 00:34:34,720 --> 00:34:32,690 productivity for the Archaean and other 985 00:34:37,389 --> 00:34:34,730 collaboration between Ames u-dub and 986 00:34:38,980 --> 00:34:37,399 Penn State on that one so I'm just going 987 00:34:42,190 --> 00:34:38,990 to go through a specific example here of 988 00:34:43,780 --> 00:34:42,200 what we do for the early Earth so this 989 00:34:45,970 --> 00:34:43,790 is this is work that has been done but 990 00:34:48,490 --> 00:34:45,980 it demonstrates very nicely how we can 991 00:34:50,190 --> 00:34:48,500 use models to help understand the 992 00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:50,200 environment indeed 993 00:34:56,139 --> 00:34:54,530 excuse me in the context of geological 994 00:34:57,880 --> 00:34:56,149 and biological constraints as well so 995 00:34:59,290 --> 00:34:57,890 there's interplay between what we can 996 00:35:03,430 --> 00:34:59,300 learn from the field and the modeling 997 00:35:06,550 --> 00:35:03,440 efforts so this group led by Jacob park 998 00:35:09,130 --> 00:35:06,560 misra and also Sean on some aspects of 999 00:35:11,070 --> 00:35:09,140 this Rondo mobile Goldman so this is a 1000 00:35:14,050 --> 00:35:11,080 collaboration between vpl and Penn State 1001 00:35:16,420 --> 00:35:14,060 looking at prior to the rise of oxygen 1002 00:35:18,339 --> 00:35:16,430 we know that the early Earth appears to 1003 00:35:19,870 --> 00:35:18,349 have been ice-free even though the 1004 00:35:21,820 --> 00:35:19,880 astronomers tell us that the Sun was 1005 00:35:23,829 --> 00:35:21,830 much much fainter at that time so people 1006 00:35:26,290 --> 00:35:23,839 been trying to warm the early Earth this 1007 00:35:28,210 --> 00:35:26,300 study looked at novel things to warm the 1008 00:35:30,430 --> 00:35:28,220 early Earth methane 1009 00:35:33,130 --> 00:35:30,440 which may be considered to be maybe not 1010 00:35:35,170 --> 00:35:33,140 so novel but also things like ethane and 1011 00:35:36,550 --> 00:35:35,180 higher hydrocarbons and also looking at 1012 00:35:38,140 --> 00:35:36,560 the effect of adding these sorts of 1013 00:35:39,819 --> 00:35:38,150 hydrocarbons into the atmosphere sure 1014 00:35:41,890 --> 00:35:39,829 you get greenhouse warming but you may 1015 00:35:43,780 --> 00:35:41,900 also potentially produce a haze and what 1016 00:35:44,620 --> 00:35:43,790 happens when you produce haze on this 1017 00:35:46,720 --> 00:35:44,630 type of planet 1018 00:35:50,069 --> 00:35:46,730 so haze formation can occur for a 1019 00:35:52,630 --> 00:35:50,079 methane to co2 ratio of about 1 or less 1020 00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:52,640 if the haze is thin it provides a very 1021 00:35:56,890 --> 00:35:54,530 nice UV shield and may in fact affect 1022 00:35:58,900 --> 00:35:56,900 your yourself amid signature but if the 1023 00:36:01,180 --> 00:35:58,910 haze is very thick it produces an anti 1024 00:36:03,130 --> 00:36:01,190 greenhouse effect by shielding the 1025 00:36:05,470 --> 00:36:03,140 surface of the planet from incoming 1026 00:36:07,030 --> 00:36:05,480 sunlight and so that actually cools your 1027 00:36:08,500 --> 00:36:07,040 planet rather than warming it so there 1028 00:36:10,300 --> 00:36:08,510 is this interplay between adding new 1029 00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:10,310 greenhouse gases and trying to avoid the 1030 00:36:14,109 --> 00:36:12,010 formation of a thick haze for warming 1031 00:36:15,819 --> 00:36:14,119 since the haze thickness will actually 1032 00:36:18,670 --> 00:36:15,829 depend on with antigen activity in the 1033 00:36:21,250 --> 00:36:18,680 early Earth and co2 levels it's possible 1034 00:36:22,510 --> 00:36:21,260 the qiyan haze is also mediated by life 1035 00:36:25,450 --> 00:36:22,520 so that was another focus of this 1036 00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:25,460 exploration this project uses planet 1037 00:36:28,809 --> 00:36:27,290 models founded by geological constraints 1038 00:36:30,790 --> 00:36:28,819 on atmospheric composition so it uses 1039 00:36:32,770 --> 00:36:30,800 photo chemistry models as well and 1040 00:36:34,930 --> 00:36:32,780 temperature to better constrain 1041 00:36:37,329 --> 00:36:34,940 conditions on the early Earth so this is 1042 00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:37,339 kind of a case example so just to show 1043 00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:39,770 you some of the results from this these 1044 00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:42,170 are plots of surface temperature versus 1045 00:36:47,109 --> 00:36:45,410 co2 pressure what we're trying to do is 1046 00:36:50,170 --> 00:36:47,119 get above this blue line this blue line 1047 00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:50,180 is freezing so we would like you know 1048 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:52,130 our results to be somewhere above this 1049 00:36:56,500 --> 00:36:53,930 blue line and we would also like them if 1050 00:36:58,900 --> 00:36:56,510 possible to be to the left of this 1051 00:37:02,440 --> 00:36:58,910 parasol data line because this is kind 1052 00:37:03,940 --> 00:37:02,450 of the the hard limit for the amount of 1053 00:37:07,770 --> 00:37:03,950 co2 that we think is in the atmosphere 1054 00:37:10,329 --> 00:37:07,780 based on paleo salt data so if we 1055 00:37:12,069 --> 00:37:10,339 consider those constraints then the 1056 00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:12,079 results show that if you add methane 1057 00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:13,490 into the atmosphere you can really only 1058 00:37:18,460 --> 00:37:16,210 get above the surface temperature of a 1059 00:37:20,349 --> 00:37:18,470 freezing surface temperature and be 1060 00:37:22,030 --> 00:37:20,359 consistent with the Paleo Seoul data for 1061 00:37:24,910 --> 00:37:22,040 a relatively small part of that phase 1062 00:37:26,650 --> 00:37:24,920 diagram so methane may not be the best 1063 00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:26,660 solution on its own to this particular 1064 00:37:30,579 --> 00:37:28,970 problem so the other thing this team 1065 00:37:31,930 --> 00:37:30,589 looked at was well ok there are other 1066 00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:31,940 hydrocarbons in the atmosphere they can 1067 00:37:36,490 --> 00:37:34,130 also be potentially greenhouse gases in 1068 00:37:37,150 --> 00:37:36,500 this photochemical model and showing 1069 00:37:39,220 --> 00:37:37,160 that in fact 1070 00:37:41,799 --> 00:37:39,230 ethane may be one of the most abundant 1071 00:37:42,999 --> 00:37:41,809 of these gases so this 1072 00:37:44,949 --> 00:37:43,009 would be the next one to consider for 1073 00:37:47,079 --> 00:37:44,959 greenhouse warming so the team ran the 1074 00:37:49,839 --> 00:37:47,089 models with both methane and ethane in 1075 00:37:51,609 --> 00:37:49,849 and in fact found that they were able to 1076 00:37:53,109 --> 00:37:51,619 get solutions over a larger range in the 1077 00:37:54,999 --> 00:37:53,119 phase space that justified both the 1078 00:37:56,620 --> 00:37:55,009 geological constraints and it's not 1079 00:37:59,709 --> 00:37:56,630 freezing on the surface requirement 1080 00:38:01,329 --> 00:37:59,719 however there's a consequence to adding 1081 00:38:02,529 --> 00:38:01,339 large amounts of methane and co2 into 1082 00:38:04,449 --> 00:38:02,539 your atmosphere and that is the 1083 00:38:07,359 --> 00:38:04,459 formation of haze and so what this 1084 00:38:09,819 --> 00:38:07,369 diagram shows in the red line is if you 1085 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:09,829 just ignore haze production then as you 1086 00:38:14,469 --> 00:38:12,890 increase the methane to co2 ratio you 1087 00:38:15,670 --> 00:38:14,479 end up with consistent warming of the 1088 00:38:17,799 --> 00:38:15,680 surface of the atmosphere that's where 1089 00:38:19,689 --> 00:38:17,809 that red line continues to go up however 1090 00:38:21,370 --> 00:38:19,699 in reality reality looks a lot more like 1091 00:38:24,339 --> 00:38:21,380 the blue line and that is that as you 1092 00:38:26,559 --> 00:38:24,349 increase the methane to co2 ratio you in 1093 00:38:30,130 --> 00:38:26,569 fact produce haze fairly rapidly after 1094 00:38:31,989 --> 00:38:30,140 an array shio of about 0.1 and that haze 1095 00:38:33,459 --> 00:38:31,999 overall will decrease the surface 1096 00:38:36,519 --> 00:38:33,469 temperature that's that blue dropping 1097 00:38:38,529 --> 00:38:36,529 line and increase the extinction of the 1098 00:38:41,259 --> 00:38:38,539 of the haze and that's like the Green 1099 00:38:43,209 --> 00:38:41,269 Line increasing so even though you count 1100 00:38:45,099 --> 00:38:43,219 on the the greenhouse warming if you get 1101 00:38:47,319 --> 00:38:45,109 haze reduction you end up with a net 1102 00:38:49,449 --> 00:38:47,329 cooling because of this ANSI greenhouse 1103 00:38:52,029 --> 00:38:49,459 effect so if we now look at the 1104 00:38:54,309 --> 00:38:52,039 solutions with methane ethane and the 1105 00:38:55,989 --> 00:38:54,319 haze in place it turns out that none of 1106 00:38:57,279 --> 00:38:55,999 our potential solutions those black 1107 00:39:00,729 --> 00:38:57,289 lines actually fall within that 1108 00:39:03,969 --> 00:39:00,739 desirable region which means that we 1109 00:39:06,309 --> 00:39:03,979 really do have to invoke stretching the 1110 00:39:07,949 --> 00:39:06,319 parasol data given the errors from that 1111 00:39:10,959 --> 00:39:07,959 particular measurement stretching it out 1112 00:39:12,699 --> 00:39:10,969 to to higher limits and if that were the 1113 00:39:15,039 --> 00:39:12,709 case then we could end up with in fact a 1114 00:39:18,609 --> 00:39:15,049 self-consistent our solution with both 1115 00:39:20,439 --> 00:39:18,619 methane and co2 as greenhouse gases with 1116 00:39:23,109 --> 00:39:20,449 their attendant haze in place but it 1117 00:39:24,789 --> 00:39:23,119 does require that we don't take the sort 1118 00:39:27,339 --> 00:39:24,799 of classic Paleo saw limit but really 1119 00:39:30,489 --> 00:39:27,349 push it to to the era of the aero limits 1120 00:39:33,429 --> 00:39:30,499 of that particular measurement so in 1121 00:39:35,529 --> 00:39:33,439 summary for that particular effort we 1122 00:39:38,349 --> 00:39:35,539 found that water co2 and methane alone 1123 00:39:40,179 --> 00:39:38,359 really can't easily warm the earlier kin 1124 00:39:41,739 --> 00:39:40,189 we've looked at things like adding 1125 00:39:43,809 --> 00:39:41,749 ethane that seems to help but maybe 1126 00:39:45,459 --> 00:39:43,819 doesn't get us all the way but they but 1127 00:39:47,079 --> 00:39:45,469 the team has also realistically looked 1128 00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:47,089 at the effects of adding co2 and methane 1129 00:39:52,390 --> 00:39:49,729 and the haze that gets produced and this 1130 00:39:54,010 --> 00:39:52,400 potential anti greenhouse effect so we 1131 00:39:56,110 --> 00:39:54,020 do require if this 1132 00:39:57,730 --> 00:39:56,120 mechanisms going to work actually more 1133 00:40:01,150 --> 00:39:57,740 than this paleo soul limit a point of 1134 00:40:03,130 --> 00:40:01,160 three bars of co2 and ultimately also 1135 00:40:04,330 --> 00:40:03,140 looking at this problem the researchers 1136 00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:04,340 realized that the climate stability in 1137 00:40:07,030 --> 00:40:05,570 the archein could have been maintained 1138 00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:07,040 by the response of management production 1139 00:40:11,020 --> 00:40:09,050 to surface temperature and so that's 1140 00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:11,030 going to be the focus of a future effort 1141 00:40:15,850 --> 00:40:13,810 as well in this area is looking into 1142 00:40:17,710 --> 00:40:15,860 quantifying with antigen production 1143 00:40:21,820 --> 00:40:17,720 overall to better understand that 1144 00:40:23,620 --> 00:40:21,830 potential feedback in the Aegean so that 1145 00:40:24,730 --> 00:40:23,630 was tasked me with an example again 1146 00:40:26,260 --> 00:40:24,740 which I mean a lot there I just showed 1147 00:40:27,730 --> 00:40:26,270 one particular example of things that 1148 00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:27,740 have been done um 1149 00:40:32,230 --> 00:40:30,290 so task C as what we call the habitable 1150 00:40:35,380 --> 00:40:32,240 planet so this is our abiotic planet 1151 00:40:37,120 --> 00:40:35,390 model it doesn't include an explicit 1152 00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:37,130 biosphere in it it really is just us 1153 00:40:40,750 --> 00:40:38,930 trying to understand how habitable 1154 00:40:43,120 --> 00:40:40,760 planets form how they might maintain 1155 00:40:45,670 --> 00:40:43,130 habitability and looking at the kind of 1156 00:40:48,460 --> 00:40:45,680 processes and interactions that occur on 1157 00:40:50,200 --> 00:40:48,470 these types of planets so ultimately 1158 00:40:52,060 --> 00:40:50,210 with this model we hope to have a couple 1159 00:40:54,670 --> 00:40:52,070 climate photochemical model that will 1160 00:40:57,610 --> 00:40:54,680 allow us to model planets of different 1161 00:40:59,800 --> 00:40:57,620 type not just earth-like planets to get 1162 00:41:02,770 --> 00:40:59,810 us disc Everage spectra climate and to 1163 00:41:05,070 --> 00:41:02,780 also explode the limits of the habitable 1164 00:41:07,870 --> 00:41:05,080 zone for plausible extrasolar planets 1165 00:41:09,130 --> 00:41:07,880 the current projects include habitable 1166 00:41:10,450 --> 00:41:09,140 terrestrial planet formation and 1167 00:41:12,310 --> 00:41:10,460 Composition which have been worked on by 1168 00:41:15,190 --> 00:41:12,320 sean raymond monica cress and rory 1169 00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:15,200 barnes there at Colorado or San Jose 1170 00:41:19,810 --> 00:41:18,530 State and University of Washington were 1171 00:41:22,060 --> 00:41:19,820 warming early Mars trying different 1172 00:41:25,720 --> 00:41:22,070 types of gases to do that to get it 1173 00:41:27,670 --> 00:41:25,730 habitable looking at so2 and early Mars 1174 00:41:30,250 --> 00:41:27,680 so2 has been postulated as a way to warm 1175 00:41:31,930 --> 00:41:30,260 early Mars but more work needs to be 1176 00:41:34,060 --> 00:41:31,940 done on the actual photochemical and 1177 00:41:35,230 --> 00:41:34,070 climate consequences of adding so2 to 1178 00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:35,240 the atmosphere which haven't been really 1179 00:41:39,310 --> 00:41:36,650 fully modeled through so we're looking 1180 00:41:41,860 --> 00:41:39,320 at that that's a DDF project by the way 1181 00:41:44,410 --> 00:41:41,870 that was funded Thank You Carl a 1182 00:41:45,790 --> 00:41:44,420 habitable zone limits as well we're 1183 00:41:48,010 --> 00:41:45,800 attacking that two ways we're using 1184 00:41:49,870 --> 00:41:48,020 three dimensional models and we're also 1185 00:41:51,130 --> 00:41:49,880 starting out with one dimensional models 1186 00:41:53,170 --> 00:41:51,140 and here we're really looking at the 1187 00:41:56,470 --> 00:41:53,180 realistic effect of clouds and these 1188 00:41:58,020 --> 00:41:56,480 hazers on the climate bounce of planets 1189 00:42:00,700 --> 00:41:58,030 near the limits of the habitable zone 1190 00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:00,710 and in addition to just looking at the 1191 00:42:04,180 --> 00:42:02,210 radiative effects on the habitable zone 1192 00:42:06,250 --> 00:42:04,190 it turns out that for planets around M 1193 00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:06,260 stars the habitable zone the reason 1194 00:42:09,970 --> 00:42:07,850 where the region where they can 1195 00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:09,980 the liquid water on the surface is very 1196 00:42:13,690 --> 00:42:11,810 close to the parent star and that means 1197 00:42:15,340 --> 00:42:13,700 that the star starts to gravitationally 1198 00:42:16,930 --> 00:42:15,350 interact with the planet in addition to 1199 00:42:18,850 --> 00:42:16,940 radiatively interacting with the planet 1200 00:42:20,350 --> 00:42:18,860 so what that means is the star can 1201 00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:20,360 actually transfer gravitational energy 1202 00:42:24,730 --> 00:42:22,850 into tidal heating of the planet the way 1203 00:42:27,310 --> 00:42:24,740 IO gets heated by Jupiter for example 1204 00:42:29,230 --> 00:42:27,320 and so you can affect drive geology and 1205 00:42:30,700 --> 00:42:29,240 geological cycles by a gravitational 1206 00:42:31,660 --> 00:42:30,710 interaction with the parent star and 1207 00:42:34,450 --> 00:42:31,670 we're looking at how that affects 1208 00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:34,460 habitability also we also have these 1209 00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:35,810 super earth environments that were 1210 00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:37,130 particularly interested in everybody's 1211 00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:38,690 interested in super Earths these are the 1212 00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:40,970 very largest of the earth-like planets 1213 00:42:45,370 --> 00:42:42,410 that have been found so far so if things 1214 00:42:46,660 --> 00:42:45,380 at about eight Earth masses these are 1215 00:42:48,730 --> 00:42:46,670 observational things that are being 1216 00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:48,740 found now and will be found and explored 1217 00:42:53,020 --> 00:42:51,530 relatively soon so we also would like to 1218 00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:53,030 get into modeling super earth 1219 00:42:56,170 --> 00:42:54,410 environments and trying to understand 1220 00:42:57,940 --> 00:42:56,180 their composition climate balance and 1221 00:43:00,940 --> 00:42:57,950 also potentially that the geological 1222 00:43:02,230 --> 00:43:00,950 activity associated with them so future 1223 00:43:04,240 --> 00:43:02,240 projects in this area are getting that 1224 00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:04,250 one D climate chemical model working for 1225 00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:04,850 super Earths 1226 00:43:09,580 --> 00:43:07,370 I'm led by ty Robinson and also 3d 1227 00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:09,590 environmental modeling as well and just 1228 00:43:17,230 --> 00:43:11,810 in in the general area getting 1229 00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:17,240 generalized models for these two so I'm 1230 00:43:19,780 --> 00:43:18,770 not sure I'm going I'm sort of running 1231 00:43:21,220 --> 00:43:19,790 out of time here is I'm actually going 1232 00:43:22,630 --> 00:43:21,230 to skip this a little bit this is work 1233 00:43:24,730 --> 00:43:22,640 done by Monica cress where she's 1234 00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:24,740 actually working on how to get solid 1235 00:43:28,990 --> 00:43:27,050 carbon into planets as they form working 1236 00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:29,000 on this concept of the soot line she 1237 00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:31,010 thinks PAHs are probably the most likely 1238 00:43:36,250 --> 00:43:32,810 way that carbon gets incorporated into a 1239 00:43:37,810 --> 00:43:36,260 forming planet and she is producing disk 1240 00:43:40,830 --> 00:43:37,820 chemistry models which we show here that 1241 00:43:43,060 --> 00:43:40,840 actually show the evolution of these 1242 00:43:44,500 --> 00:43:43,070 constituents with radial distance from 1243 00:43:46,900 --> 00:43:44,510 the center of the star and a planet 1244 00:43:49,390 --> 00:43:46,910 forming disk and we are combining these 1245 00:43:50,950 --> 00:43:49,400 results with showing Ramon's planet 1246 00:43:54,430 --> 00:43:50,960 formation models to actually get a much 1247 00:43:56,110 --> 00:43:54,440 better idea of the bulk composition of 1248 00:43:57,820 --> 00:43:56,120 planets once they form in a particular 1249 00:44:00,510 --> 00:43:57,830 simulation so the combination of 1250 00:44:02,260 --> 00:44:00,520 chemistry and planet formation models 1251 00:44:04,570 --> 00:44:02,270 the other thing we're looking at 1252 00:44:06,700 --> 00:44:04,580 problems were the inner solar system and 1253 00:44:08,140 --> 00:44:06,710 accretion a short name is trying to 1254 00:44:10,540 --> 00:44:08,150 create Mars but he's having trouble 1255 00:44:12,610 --> 00:44:10,550 whenever he manages to get a Mars that 1256 00:44:14,110 --> 00:44:12,620 is small enough means he has to put some 1257 00:44:15,540 --> 00:44:14,120 unrealistic constraints on the outer 1258 00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:15,550 solar system including 1259 00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:17,690 Jupiter's and Saturn's with eccentric 1260 00:44:21,660 --> 00:44:19,690 orbits and 1261 00:44:22,770 --> 00:44:21,670 non migrating bodies mini Neptune isn't 1262 00:44:25,140 --> 00:44:22,780 allowed to migrate which we know 1263 00:44:27,030 --> 00:44:25,150 actually happens but in the process he's 1264 00:44:29,130 --> 00:44:27,040 severing that if he if he can if he 1265 00:44:31,500 --> 00:44:29,140 creates and Mars he actually dries out 1266 00:44:32,670 --> 00:44:31,510 the inner solar system so again we're 1267 00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:32,680 trying to understand the delivery of 1268 00:44:36,720 --> 00:44:34,450 volatiles and also just the creation of 1269 00:44:39,390 --> 00:44:36,730 the own planets in our own planetary 1270 00:44:41,640 --> 00:44:39,400 system another thing Shawn is working on 1271 00:44:43,020 --> 00:44:41,650 is models of how you create hot super 1272 00:44:44,550 --> 00:44:43,030 Earths we've had some super Earths 1273 00:44:46,230 --> 00:44:44,560 discovered very very close to their 1274 00:44:47,790 --> 00:44:46,240 parent star he's trying to figure out 1275 00:44:49,530 --> 00:44:47,800 how they got there whether they migrated 1276 00:44:52,620 --> 00:44:49,540 there got shepherded in by a giant 1277 00:44:54,150 --> 00:44:52,630 planet formed in situ so his models have 1278 00:44:55,859 --> 00:44:54,160 been used to then predict what these 1279 00:44:58,230 --> 00:44:55,869 planets would be like their composition 1280 00:44:59,730 --> 00:44:58,240 where you might find them what kind of 1281 00:45:01,859 --> 00:44:59,740 dynamical characteristics they would 1282 00:45:04,680 --> 00:45:01,869 have in those particular positions and 1283 00:45:05,910 --> 00:45:04,690 so he's come down with two models that 1284 00:45:07,790 --> 00:45:05,920 he think are the best ones who are 1285 00:45:10,079 --> 00:45:07,800 creating hot earths and they have 1286 00:45:12,630 --> 00:45:10,089 observable consequences so we're waiting 1287 00:45:14,339 --> 00:45:12,640 for Perot and Kepler to maybe look at 1288 00:45:16,410 --> 00:45:14,349 these systems and tell us whether or not 1289 00:45:18,599 --> 00:45:16,420 at least one of these models was right 1290 00:45:21,150 --> 00:45:18,609 so again predictions with models and 1291 00:45:22,980 --> 00:45:21,160 this is just a quick diagram showing 1292 00:45:24,720 --> 00:45:22,990 Rory Barnes's work on this tidally 1293 00:45:26,309 --> 00:45:24,730 heated habitable zone the concept that 1294 00:45:27,599 --> 00:45:26,319 it's not just the radiation hitting the 1295 00:45:29,849 --> 00:45:27,609 surface of the planet that's important 1296 00:45:33,540 --> 00:45:29,859 but also the gravitational energy being 1297 00:45:35,910 --> 00:45:33,550 deposited and so he's looking overall at 1298 00:45:38,339 --> 00:45:35,920 when you can get enough heating from 1299 00:45:40,170 --> 00:45:38,349 tidal heating to to actually contribute 1300 00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:40,180 to the habitability planet and when you 1301 00:45:47,640 --> 00:45:43,450 get too much and actually drive the loss 1302 00:45:50,940 --> 00:45:47,650 of habitat for the planet that task D 1303 00:45:53,069 --> 00:45:50,950 the living planet in this particular one 1304 00:45:54,720 --> 00:45:53,079 we actually start using biospheres to 1305 00:45:57,660 --> 00:45:54,730 understand the interaction between life 1306 00:45:59,940 --> 00:45:57,670 and the environment current and future 1307 00:46:01,650 --> 00:45:59,950 projects we're working on these the 1308 00:46:03,300 --> 00:46:01,660 responsive inhabited planet atmospheres 1309 00:46:05,849 --> 00:46:03,310 to time-dependent stellar flare activity 1310 00:46:07,589 --> 00:46:05,859 so not only do we rip our Sun out and 1311 00:46:09,089 --> 00:46:07,599 replace it with an M star do we replace 1312 00:46:12,390 --> 00:46:09,099 it with an M star that is flaring 1313 00:46:14,990 --> 00:46:12,400 massively is undergoing a rapid and 1314 00:46:18,329 --> 00:46:15,000 violent release of ultraviolet radiation 1315 00:46:20,460 --> 00:46:18,339 looking at how that in fact affects the 1316 00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:20,470 habitability of the surface we've been 1317 00:46:23,849 --> 00:46:21,970 looking at bio signatures from self 1318 00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:23,859 advised finished signal sorry self 1319 00:46:27,720 --> 00:46:25,450 advisory is in the Archaean trying to 1320 00:46:29,309 --> 00:46:27,730 understand different metabolisms and not 1321 00:46:31,740 --> 00:46:29,319 just sticking with our oxygen okoto 1322 00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:31,750 synthesis we've looked at the 1323 00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:33,490 coevolution of photosynthetic 1324 00:46:37,020 --> 00:46:34,930 with the environment and some people may 1325 00:46:38,730 --> 00:46:37,030 remember this this was a press release 1326 00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:38,740 and also a scientific American article 1327 00:46:43,590 --> 00:46:40,810 on understanding the colors of planets 1328 00:46:45,240 --> 00:46:43,600 sorry colors of plants on other planets 1329 00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:45,250 I'll talk a little bit about that in 1330 00:46:49,530 --> 00:46:47,410 more detail and also lab work on the 1331 00:46:51,690 --> 00:46:49,540 efficiency of photosynthesis and also 1332 00:46:53,370 --> 00:46:51,700 development of land and ocean by stroke 1333 00:46:54,870 --> 00:46:53,380 models so I'm just going to go over each 1334 00:46:57,240 --> 00:46:54,880 of these with one slide just a little 1335 00:46:59,790 --> 00:46:57,250 bit more detail yes and of course I feel 1336 00:47:03,270 --> 00:46:59,800 modeling components led by pan Conrad 1337 00:47:05,190 --> 00:47:03,280 it's Lombard and Janet Seaford - Quatro 1338 00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:05,200 Cienega s-- and I know that the Quatro 1339 00:47:07,890 --> 00:47:07,330 Cienega study is also in collaboration 1340 00:47:11,040 --> 00:47:07,900 with ASU 1341 00:47:14,609 --> 00:47:11,050 as well so there we look at the limits 1342 00:47:16,290 --> 00:47:14,619 of habitability and also stromatolite 1343 00:47:18,270 --> 00:47:16,300 fresh waters from Adelaide growth in 1344 00:47:19,590 --> 00:47:18,280 potassium deficient environments again 1345 00:47:21,450 --> 00:47:19,600 understanding these primitive life 1346 00:47:24,030 --> 00:47:21,460 wounds to see how they might impact our 1347 00:47:25,800 --> 00:47:24,040 early Earth environments so with a 1348 00:47:27,570 --> 00:47:25,810 stellar florist and habitability what we 1349 00:47:29,310 --> 00:47:27,580 did was again we used a couple climate 1350 00:47:31,740 --> 00:47:29,320 chemical model that we modified it to be 1351 00:47:33,540 --> 00:47:31,750 able to take him time-dependent stellar 1352 00:47:35,640 --> 00:47:33,550 forcings that meant we could change the 1353 00:47:39,660 --> 00:47:35,650 spectrum of the star every 10 seconds 1354 00:47:41,730 --> 00:47:39,670 have that feed into the into the climate 1355 00:47:43,650 --> 00:47:41,740 chemistry model and look at the effect 1356 00:47:45,660 --> 00:47:43,660 on the photochemistry of the planet as 1357 00:47:47,849 --> 00:47:45,670 it was being bombarded by ultraviolet 1358 00:47:49,410 --> 00:47:47,859 radiation from this star so to do this 1359 00:47:50,340 --> 00:47:49,420 project we had to collaborate with real 1360 00:47:51,330 --> 00:47:50,350 honest-to-goodness stellar 1361 00:47:53,070 --> 00:47:51,340 astrophysicists 1362 00:47:54,300 --> 00:47:53,080 who could tell us you know what the 1363 00:47:56,490 --> 00:47:54,310 sweat from the star was like and how 1364 00:47:58,170 --> 00:47:56,500 that evolved over time and then we put 1365 00:47:59,310 --> 00:47:58,180 that as input into our climate chemical 1366 00:48:01,890 --> 00:47:59,320 model to look at the effects on 1367 00:48:03,990 --> 00:48:01,900 temperature ozone cone depth and surface 1368 00:48:05,790 --> 00:48:04,000 and UV flux and what we found was 1369 00:48:07,920 --> 00:48:05,800 actually kind of interesting and that 1370 00:48:09,750 --> 00:48:07,930 was that in fact even when we hit a 1371 00:48:13,890 --> 00:48:09,760 planet with one of the worst flares that 1372 00:48:14,280 --> 00:48:13,900 an M star can put out that 10 to the 32 1373 00:48:16,470 --> 00:48:14,290 ergs 1374 00:48:18,150 --> 00:48:16,480 we got a less than 1% change in the 1375 00:48:21,420 --> 00:48:18,160 overall ozone calm depths that was 1376 00:48:23,070 --> 00:48:21,430 actually very robust to that I'm during 1377 00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:23,080 and after the flare and in fact you can 1378 00:48:28,980 --> 00:48:27,130 see that over time we in fact reached 1379 00:48:31,349 --> 00:48:28,990 our equilibrium position after several 1380 00:48:32,790 --> 00:48:31,359 months so that really was a perturbation 1381 00:48:35,430 --> 00:48:32,800 to the atmosphere over several months 1382 00:48:37,260 --> 00:48:35,440 after the flare but that was in fact a 1383 00:48:39,230 --> 00:48:37,270 pretty small is it the less than 1% 1384 00:48:42,420 --> 00:48:39,240 level and even at the peak of the flare 1385 00:48:43,920 --> 00:48:42,430 we got only twice the typical surface UV 1386 00:48:46,020 --> 00:48:43,930 flux we see at the earth which is not 1387 00:48:46,599 --> 00:48:46,030 too terrible and it was predominantly in 1388 00:48:50,019 --> 00:48:46,609 the UV 1389 00:48:51,940 --> 00:48:50,029 which is not as DNA damaging and so 1390 00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:51,950 really it wasn't that much of a deal 1391 00:48:55,569 --> 00:48:53,690 which we were we were quite surprised at 1392 00:48:57,700 --> 00:48:55,579 but again at least we least you run 1393 00:48:59,680 --> 00:48:57,710 through the models other things we've 1394 00:49:00,970 --> 00:48:59,690 done is look at how bio signatures get 1395 00:49:02,950 --> 00:49:00,980 enhanced when you have a star of 1396 00:49:04,870 --> 00:49:02,960 different spectral type again the 1397 00:49:06,400 --> 00:49:04,880 different type of radiation coming into 1398 00:49:08,529 --> 00:49:06,410 the top of the atmosphere affects the 1399 00:49:09,819 --> 00:49:08,539 lifetime of different constituents and 1400 00:49:11,859 --> 00:49:09,829 what we're just showing you very quickly 1401 00:49:14,589 --> 00:49:11,869 in this slide is that things like 1402 00:49:16,029 --> 00:49:14,599 methane for example can build up quite 1403 00:49:17,950 --> 00:49:16,039 significantly if you have a planet 1404 00:49:20,859 --> 00:49:17,960 around an M star this is less methane 1405 00:49:22,180 --> 00:49:20,869 this is more methane over here and these 1406 00:49:24,940 --> 00:49:22,190 different colors are the different types 1407 00:49:26,859 --> 00:49:24,950 of stars you can also build up more 1408 00:49:30,519 --> 00:49:26,869 nitrous oxide and more methyl chloride 1409 00:49:32,049 --> 00:49:30,529 but in fact what's not too apparent here 1410 00:49:34,450 --> 00:49:32,059 is a little bit subtle is that actually 1411 00:49:37,329 --> 00:49:34,460 methane and methyl chloride had rapid 1412 00:49:40,420 --> 00:49:37,339 increases in their lifetimes due to the 1413 00:49:42,549 --> 00:49:40,430 fact that ozone photolysis and oxygen 1414 00:49:44,109 --> 00:49:42,559 catalysis was not going on as well and 1415 00:49:45,970 --> 00:49:44,119 those are the pathways to getting rid of 1416 00:49:47,559 --> 00:49:45,980 methane and methyl chloride so those 1417 00:49:49,690 --> 00:49:47,569 weren't excited as much by the seller 1418 00:49:51,460 --> 00:49:49,700 spectrum but the nitrous oxide was 1419 00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:51,470 directly fertilized and it got hit much 1420 00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:53,210 harder it does have a longer lifetime 1421 00:49:56,950 --> 00:49:55,130 but it didn't enhance its lifetime 1422 00:49:58,690 --> 00:49:56,960 anywhere near as much as the methane and 1423 00:50:00,130 --> 00:49:58,700 their folklore I did so we're learning a 1424 00:50:03,549 --> 00:50:00,140 little bit more about what can build up 1425 00:50:06,779 --> 00:50:03,559 in a planetary atmosphere so here's a 1426 00:50:09,519 --> 00:50:06,789 spectrum of of the earth versus 1427 00:50:12,039 --> 00:50:09,529 different planets so a planet around a 1428 00:50:14,140 --> 00:50:12,049 dealio with and without methyl chloride 1429 00:50:15,519 --> 00:50:14,150 and all I want you to see here is in 1430 00:50:16,809 --> 00:50:15,529 fact the difference between the blue and 1431 00:50:19,059 --> 00:50:16,819 the red lines particularly in this 1432 00:50:21,130 --> 00:50:19,069 region is in fact absorption from methyl 1433 00:50:23,079 --> 00:50:21,140 chloride so that is another potential 1434 00:50:26,140 --> 00:50:23,089 bias signature we could look for on a 1435 00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:26,150 planet around a cooler star on the earth 1436 00:50:28,989 --> 00:50:27,650 the methyl chloride lifetime is 1437 00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:28,999 sufficiently short given the UV 1438 00:50:33,309 --> 00:50:30,650 radiation that's hitting our planet that 1439 00:50:35,079 --> 00:50:33,319 it doesn't build up to detectable levels 1440 00:50:36,910 --> 00:50:35,089 in the atmosphere around the earth 1441 00:50:38,529 --> 00:50:36,920 around the G star but if you have an 1442 00:50:40,870 --> 00:50:38,539 earth around an M star you start to be 1443 00:50:43,299 --> 00:50:40,880 able to detect things that are really 1444 00:50:44,589 --> 00:50:43,309 more traced in our own atmosphere the 1445 00:50:46,569 --> 00:50:44,599 other thing we looked at was also the 1446 00:50:49,450 --> 00:50:46,579 build-up again of sulfur biosignatures 1447 00:50:51,309 --> 00:50:49,460 on an early earth-type planet but again 1448 00:50:52,870 --> 00:50:51,319 around an M star and what we're looking 1449 00:50:55,390 --> 00:50:52,880 at here is the difference between the 1450 00:50:57,309 --> 00:50:55,400 black and the red line here this 1451 00:50:59,289 --> 00:50:57,319 particular slope in the red is actually 1452 00:51:00,320 --> 00:50:59,299 due to strong absorption from dimethyl 1453 00:51:02,660 --> 00:51:00,330 disulfide 1454 00:51:09,410 --> 00:51:02,670 in the atmosphere of the planet from a 1455 00:51:11,840 --> 00:51:09,420 sulphur biosphere so let's see code I'm 1456 00:51:13,640 --> 00:51:11,850 wrapping up here coevolution and 1457 00:51:15,230 --> 00:51:13,650 detection of alien photosynthesis was 1458 00:51:18,110 --> 00:51:15,240 something that Nancy Kang led which was 1459 00:51:21,230 --> 00:51:18,120 which was very exciting and this was 1460 00:51:23,240 --> 00:51:21,240 just looking at what type of radiation 1461 00:51:25,010 --> 00:51:23,250 hits the surface of the planet when we 1462 00:51:26,930 --> 00:51:25,020 do our modeling and we get our 1463 00:51:28,460 --> 00:51:26,940 environments and we generate spectra of 1464 00:51:29,780 --> 00:51:28,470 them we generate the kind of spectra 1465 00:51:31,130 --> 00:51:29,790 that would be coming off the top of the 1466 00:51:33,170 --> 00:51:31,140 atmosphere of the planet the sort of 1467 00:51:34,700 --> 00:51:33,180 thing that a telescope would see but as 1468 00:51:36,530 --> 00:51:34,710 a byproduct of all of these models we 1469 00:51:37,790 --> 00:51:36,540 also generate the radiation that's 1470 00:51:39,350 --> 00:51:37,800 actually hitting the surface of the 1471 00:51:41,780 --> 00:51:39,360 planet the sort of thing that a plant or 1472 00:51:44,030 --> 00:51:41,790 microbe would see looking up so Nancy 1473 00:51:45,410 --> 00:51:44,040 took this data she looked at it for 1474 00:51:47,630 --> 00:51:45,420 earth-like planets around different 1475 00:51:49,340 --> 00:51:47,640 types of stars at G K and M stars and 1476 00:51:51,200 --> 00:51:49,350 she figured out that in fact there were 1477 00:51:54,170 --> 00:51:51,210 some fundamental rules to where you 1478 00:51:57,230 --> 00:51:54,180 might expect photosynthetic pigments to 1479 00:51:58,700 --> 00:51:57,240 be and so working on those rules she was 1480 00:52:01,580 --> 00:51:58,710 able to essentially predict what the 1481 00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:01,590 colors of alien plants would be but one 1482 00:52:05,390 --> 00:52:03,090 thing we discovered in this is in fact 1483 00:52:07,850 --> 00:52:05,400 that the peak of chlorophyll a 1484 00:52:09,530 --> 00:52:07,860 absorption occurs at the peak of photon 1485 00:52:12,550 --> 00:52:09,540 flux incident on the surface of the 1486 00:52:15,110 --> 00:52:12,560 planet and that peak is at around 688 1487 00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:15,120 nanometers even though the peak of 1488 00:52:18,380 --> 00:52:16,890 energy coming from the star is in the 1489 00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:18,390 green you probably all learnt that you 1490 00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:19,890 know the most energy hitting the surface 1491 00:52:23,870 --> 00:52:21,810 of the planet isn't in green that's true 1492 00:52:24,890 --> 00:52:23,880 but the most number of photons is 1493 00:52:26,750 --> 00:52:24,900 actually in the red 1494 00:52:28,430 --> 00:52:26,760 and since photosynthesis is a photon 1495 00:52:30,020 --> 00:52:28,440 limited process that's where our plants 1496 00:52:32,270 --> 00:52:30,030 have decided they want to hang out and 1497 00:52:33,710 --> 00:52:32,280 get the photons so using these sorts of 1498 00:52:35,120 --> 00:52:33,720 rules she was able to predict where you 1499 00:52:36,590 --> 00:52:35,130 might expect to see photosynthetic 1500 00:52:40,430 --> 00:52:36,600 pigments on four planets 1501 00:52:41,690 --> 00:52:40,440 plants on other planets and she's 1502 00:52:43,340 --> 00:52:41,700 continuing that work by the way also 1503 00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:43,350 looking at what might drive the red edge 1504 00:52:48,290 --> 00:52:45,690 to the other thing now is he's working 1505 00:52:50,480 --> 00:52:48,300 on is the mother DDF effort again thank 1506 00:52:52,070 --> 00:52:50,490 you Carl is looking at the energetic 1507 00:52:54,440 --> 00:52:52,080 limit for water splitting for 1508 00:52:56,600 --> 00:52:54,450 photosynthesis so what Nancy and her 1509 00:52:59,390 --> 00:52:56,610 team are trying to do here is actually 1510 00:53:02,290 --> 00:52:59,400 use photo acoustic measurements of a 1511 00:53:04,850 --> 00:53:02,300 particular type of marine bacterium 1512 00:53:06,650 --> 00:53:04,860 cyanobacterium that uses chlorophyll d 1513 00:53:08,270 --> 00:53:06,660 rather than chlorophyll a preferentially 1514 00:53:09,860 --> 00:53:08,280 because it hangs out on the underside of 1515 00:53:12,230 --> 00:53:09,870 this particular creature which I'm not 1516 00:53:13,280 --> 00:53:12,240 even sure what it is but it lives under 1517 00:53:15,260 --> 00:53:13,290 there and it tends to only 1518 00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:15,270 get sort of long-wavelength I read 1519 00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:16,890 infrared radiation in that environment 1520 00:53:21,200 --> 00:53:19,410 and so looking at the efficiency of that 1521 00:53:22,820 --> 00:53:21,210 will help us understand if there really 1522 00:53:25,100 --> 00:53:22,830 is a hard limit for water splitting 1523 00:53:26,750 --> 00:53:25,110 photosynthesis where that might be and 1524 00:53:29,000 --> 00:53:26,760 what the relevance would be for planets 1525 00:53:30,710 --> 00:53:29,010 around stars that have long wavelength 1526 00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:30,720 radiation that comes in like m dwarf 1527 00:53:34,700 --> 00:53:33,330 planets and also on haze covered planets 1528 00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:34,710 like the early Earth where you may be 1529 00:53:38,270 --> 00:53:36,930 blocking a lot of visible radiation but 1530 00:53:39,740 --> 00:53:38,280 allowing radiation through in the 1531 00:53:42,440 --> 00:53:39,750 near-infrared which is the sort of thing 1532 00:53:45,110 --> 00:53:42,450 we see on Titan and Venus any planet 1533 00:53:47,930 --> 00:53:45,120 with a very dense photochemical haze has 1534 00:53:49,700 --> 00:53:47,940 that characteristic we're also working 1535 00:53:50,870 --> 00:53:49,710 on biosphere models we have a bunch of 1536 00:53:53,210 --> 00:53:50,880 them up and running now which is 1537 00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:53,220 fantastic several of them are now 1538 00:53:57,170 --> 00:53:55,290 coupled to GCMs as well so we're 1539 00:53:59,840 --> 00:53:57,180 starting to have the capability to plant 1540 00:54:02,000 --> 00:53:59,850 at play around with alien vegetation and 1541 00:54:05,450 --> 00:54:02,010 its interaction with a more earth-like 1542 00:54:07,520 --> 00:54:05,460 environment we also have recently 1543 00:54:09,830 --> 00:54:07,530 completed the Eve equilibrium 1544 00:54:12,110 --> 00:54:09,840 equilibrium vegetation ecology model 1545 00:54:13,880 --> 00:54:12,120 which is developed by John virgin 1546 00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:13,890 granite counter and yoo-kyung is going 1547 00:54:17,420 --> 00:54:15,450 to be using it with the student to 1548 00:54:19,580 --> 00:54:17,430 actually explore what happens to the 1549 00:54:20,690 --> 00:54:19,590 earth over the next century and in fact 1550 00:54:22,220 --> 00:54:20,700 I think I think they've written up a 1551 00:54:23,540 --> 00:54:22,230 large fraction of that already but 1552 00:54:25,820 --> 00:54:23,550 there's still some work to be done in 1553 00:54:27,350 --> 00:54:25,830 coupling a full a fully interactive 1554 00:54:30,140 --> 00:54:27,360 biosphere into that model having the 1555 00:54:32,540 --> 00:54:30,150 biosphere not just react to climate but 1556 00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:32,550 to react back at the climate and affect 1557 00:54:39,740 --> 00:54:37,050 the climate itself and finally on these 1558 00:54:41,870 --> 00:54:39,750 tasks we have also active fieldwork at 1559 00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:41,880 various sites as I mentioned this is 1560 00:54:45,680 --> 00:54:43,770 Janet C Fritz work at Quatro Cienega s' 1561 00:54:48,470 --> 00:54:45,690 where we are looking at freshwater 1562 00:54:50,750 --> 00:54:48,480 stromatolites in the sort of isolated 1563 00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:50,760 poses in the Mexican desert very 1564 00:54:54,710 --> 00:54:53,010 phosphorous deficient environment and 1565 00:54:56,740 --> 00:54:54,720 again this is work which I think Ariel 1566 00:54:58,880 --> 00:54:56,750 may have already talked about with ASU 1567 00:55:00,890 --> 00:54:58,890 Janet works there specifically on 1568 00:55:02,570 --> 00:55:00,900 horizontal gene transfer but we're also 1569 00:55:04,220 --> 00:55:02,580 very much interested in looking at the 1570 00:55:05,960 --> 00:55:04,230 gases that come off these types of life 1571 00:55:07,730 --> 00:55:05,970 forms and again trying to understand how 1572 00:55:11,150 --> 00:55:07,740 that might feed into a potential bio 1573 00:55:12,830 --> 00:55:11,160 signature okay so finally task E the 1574 00:55:15,110 --> 00:55:12,840 observer I'll just go through this very 1575 00:55:16,790 --> 00:55:15,120 quickly in the observer what we're doing 1576 00:55:18,980 --> 00:55:16,800 is taking the output from all our 1577 00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:18,990 previous simulations and trying to 1578 00:55:21,650 --> 00:55:20,490 understand again what a telescope might 1579 00:55:24,170 --> 00:55:21,660 see and what a telescope should 1580 00:55:26,030 --> 00:55:24,180 potentially look for in addition in this 1581 00:55:26,490 --> 00:55:26,040 task we actually take observations of 1582 00:55:27,690 --> 00:55:26,500 planets 1583 00:55:31,110 --> 00:55:27,700 that's part of our observational 1584 00:55:32,760 --> 00:55:31,120 component astronomy fieldwork and Carl 1585 00:55:33,540 --> 00:55:32,770 Grill Myers on our team - he's the 1586 00:55:35,190 --> 00:55:33,550 person who got the highest 1587 00:55:37,560 --> 00:55:35,200 signal-to-noise spectrum an actual 1588 00:55:39,960 --> 00:55:37,570 spectrum of a Jovian extrasolar planet 1589 00:55:42,120 --> 00:55:39,970 and he was able in that spectrum to see 1590 00:55:43,830 --> 00:55:42,130 a very characteristic signature from the 1591 00:55:46,770 --> 00:55:43,840 shape of the water band which is this 1592 00:55:49,170 --> 00:55:46,780 this dip here and bump here which I'm 1593 00:55:50,490 --> 00:55:49,180 showing that's sort of only the sort of 1594 00:55:51,960 --> 00:55:50,500 thing of spectroscopy could love but 1595 00:55:54,270 --> 00:55:51,970 believe me that's incredibly exciting 1596 00:55:56,250 --> 00:55:54,280 this isn't inferring water just from 1597 00:55:57,840 --> 00:55:56,260 some photometric band that dropped down 1598 00:56:00,210 --> 00:55:57,850 but actually seeing the shape of the 1599 00:56:02,370 --> 00:56:00,220 band in the spectrum of the planet so we 1600 00:56:05,700 --> 00:56:02,380 are making big steps forward in that so 1601 00:56:07,560 --> 00:56:05,710 finally wrapping up our EPO project led 1602 00:56:09,990 --> 00:56:07,570 by Michael Green but with buy-in from a 1603 00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:10,000 lot of our scientists on EPO we have 1604 00:56:14,460 --> 00:56:12,010 five major tasks we're going to 1605 00:56:16,320 --> 00:56:14,470 implement astrobiology distance learning 1606 00:56:18,540 --> 00:56:16,330 courses for in-service and pre-service 1607 00:56:20,010 --> 00:56:18,550 educators not going to get to that this 1608 00:56:21,750 --> 00:56:20,020 year I don't think but we will be 1609 00:56:22,740 --> 00:56:21,760 getting to that next year we're 1610 00:56:24,510 --> 00:56:22,750 interested in entering into a 1611 00:56:26,520 --> 00:56:24,520 partnership to develop an astrobiology 1612 00:56:28,140 --> 00:56:26,530 planetarium show where we use the night 1613 00:56:30,240 --> 00:56:28,150 sky as the context for astrobiological 1614 00:56:32,040 --> 00:56:30,250 questions in astrobiology for education 1615 00:56:34,380 --> 00:56:32,050 we're always interested in collaborating 1616 00:56:35,550 --> 00:56:34,390 with anybody on that one what we're 1617 00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:35,560 doing this year are the last three 1618 00:56:38,910 --> 00:56:36,970 objectives where we're creating an 1619 00:56:40,410 --> 00:56:38,920 outreach toolkit on astrobiology for the 1620 00:56:41,970 --> 00:56:40,420 NASA night sky Network which is a 1621 00:56:44,100 --> 00:56:41,980 network of amateurs right across the 1622 00:56:45,540 --> 00:56:44,110 country who use them amongst themselves 1623 00:56:47,700 --> 00:56:45,550 and also use them to go out and educate 1624 00:56:49,680 --> 00:56:47,710 the public as well with star parties and 1625 00:56:51,780 --> 00:56:49,690 things like that we're launching public 1626 00:56:53,580 --> 00:56:51,790 symposia series we have Frank Drake and 1627 00:56:56,910 --> 00:56:53,590 Debra Fischer coming to talk on 1628 00:57:00,210 --> 00:56:56,920 exoplanets and Howard ability at v-dub 1629 00:57:02,220 --> 00:57:00,220 this this quarter and we'll keep keep 1630 00:57:03,780 --> 00:57:02,230 doing that we're also developing web 1631 00:57:06,240 --> 00:57:03,790 resources in partnership with JPL's 1632 00:57:07,730 --> 00:57:06,250 planet quest site and planet Quest is 1633 00:57:09,720 --> 00:57:07,740 considered to be one of the better 1634 00:57:12,180 --> 00:57:09,730 extrasolar planet in fact the best 1635 00:57:13,950 --> 00:57:12,190 extrasolar planet site so we'll be 1636 00:57:16,590 --> 00:57:13,960 looking at interactive educational 1637 00:57:17,970 --> 00:57:16,600 modules for that just very quickly the 1638 00:57:19,740 --> 00:57:17,980 night sky network as you can see is 1639 00:57:21,990 --> 00:57:19,750 pretty widely distributed and again if 1640 00:57:24,690 --> 00:57:22,000 it's amateur astronomy clubs that then 1641 00:57:26,160 --> 00:57:24,700 go out and educate the public and the 1642 00:57:27,930 --> 00:57:26,170 planet quest the world's number one 1643 00:57:30,030 --> 00:57:27,940 exoplanets website according to Yahoo 1644 00:57:32,550 --> 00:57:30,040 again working in collaboration with 1645 00:57:35,130 --> 00:57:32,560 Michael green at JPL and the planet 1646 00:57:36,540 --> 00:57:35,140 quest website which of at JPL working on 1647 00:57:38,550 --> 00:57:36,550 a bunch of different Interactive's we 1648 00:57:40,170 --> 00:57:38,560 have some ideas for this including ones 1649 00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:40,180 that are virtual tours of Europe 1650 00:57:44,789 --> 00:57:42,010 so we probably need to collaborate with 1651 00:57:48,510 --> 00:57:44,799 our icy moons folks on getting that set 1652 00:57:50,010 --> 00:57:48,520 up and that is pretty much it so if you 1653 00:58:01,490 --> 00:57:50,020 feel in a nutshell science approach 1654 00:58:08,579 --> 00:58:05,130 okay we'll open this up for questions in 1655 00:58:11,789 --> 00:58:08,589 just a moment before we do let me just 1656 00:58:15,230 --> 00:58:11,799 make one brief announcement and then 1657 00:58:18,359 --> 00:58:15,240 make a couple of observations Viki about 1658 00:58:20,279 --> 00:58:18,369 your talk the brief announcement is that 1659 00:58:23,339 --> 00:58:20,289 we have extended the deadline for 1660 00:58:25,680 --> 00:58:23,349 applications to the Santander summer 1661 00:58:28,859 --> 00:58:25,690 school which is a summer school that nai 1662 00:58:30,690 --> 00:58:28,869 and the Centro de espera biología have 1663 00:58:34,319 --> 00:58:30,700 sponsored each year for the last several 1664 00:58:37,049 --> 00:58:34,329 years in Santander Spain the application 1665 00:58:39,539 --> 00:58:37,059 deadline is now April 24th and we 1666 00:58:40,829 --> 00:58:39,549 encourage grad students and postdocs to 1667 00:58:42,960 --> 00:58:40,839 apply the NAI 1668 00:58:45,059 --> 00:58:42,970 provides scholarship so all your 1669 00:58:47,250 --> 00:58:45,069 expenses are paid for and it's a very 1670 00:58:51,299 --> 00:58:47,260 good experience this year it's going to 1671 00:58:54,750 --> 00:58:51,309 be on extremophiles and extraterrestrial 1672 00:58:57,329 --> 00:58:54,760 habitability so related to Vicky's talk 1673 00:59:00,150 --> 00:58:57,339 and I do encourage you to go to the NAI 1674 00:59:02,400 --> 00:59:00,160 website check the latest newsletter 1675 00:59:04,980 --> 00:59:02,410 you'll find the announcement of the 1676 00:59:06,539 --> 00:59:04,990 extension of the deadline and the link 1677 00:59:09,930 --> 00:59:06,549 to the page that gives you the 1678 00:59:12,510 --> 00:59:09,940 application information okay now the 1679 00:59:14,849 --> 00:59:12,520 comment I wanted to make Viki is that of 1680 00:59:16,289 --> 00:59:14,859 course these talks are in part aimed at 1681 00:59:17,579 --> 00:59:16,299 developing connections across the 1682 00:59:19,190 --> 00:59:17,589 Institute and I just wanted to mention 1683 00:59:22,589 --> 00:59:19,200 three connections that occurred to me 1684 00:59:24,809 --> 00:59:22,599 you your team has been extremely good in 1685 00:59:26,309 --> 00:59:24,819 making connections there are three 1686 00:59:29,670 --> 00:59:26,319 possibly new connections 1687 00:59:32,849 --> 00:59:29,680 one is to Melissa trainers work she just 1688 00:59:35,160 --> 00:59:32,859 gave a seminar at u-dub last week so I'm 1689 00:59:37,230 --> 00:59:35,170 sure you've picked up on that but your 1690 00:59:40,799 --> 00:59:37,240 team has a lot of the theoretical 1691 00:59:42,000 --> 00:59:40,809 capability to help understand what's 1692 00:59:43,650 --> 00:59:42,010 actually going on in Melissa's 1693 00:59:46,289 --> 00:59:43,660 experiment so I think that would be a 1694 00:59:50,069 --> 00:59:46,299 really good connection to make another 1695 00:59:52,470 --> 00:59:50,079 is to the work of a postdoc that we just 1696 00:59:56,070 --> 00:59:52,480 announced this election in the NASA 1697 00:59:58,080 --> 00:59:56,080 postdoctoral fellow program in our nai 1698 00:59:59,849 --> 00:59:58,090 component of it and that Stella Kafka 1699 01:00:04,290 --> 00:59:59,859 who's working with Alicia Weinberger at 1700 01:00:07,320 --> 01:00:04,300 Carnegie and she is also working on the 1701 01:00:09,630 --> 01:00:07,330 M star flare problem and is interested 1702 01:00:11,340 --> 01:00:09,640 in looking at the correspondence between 1703 01:00:14,430 --> 01:00:11,350 the astrophysics and the planetary 1704 01:00:16,470 --> 01:00:14,440 habitability and so I'd encourage some 1705 01:00:19,500 --> 01:00:16,480 connections to be made there and the 1706 01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:19,510 final thing is that we've been looking 1707 01:00:24,420 --> 01:00:21,490 with a bunch of folks including Ariel 1708 01:00:28,430 --> 01:00:24,430 and Roger and Doug Irwin and and Peter 1709 01:00:30,750 --> 01:00:28,440 Ward as you probably know at the 1710 01:00:33,750 --> 01:00:30,760 biogeochemical response of Earth's 1711 01:00:35,220 --> 01:00:33,760 biosphere to environmental change and 1712 01:00:38,520 --> 01:00:35,230 some of the things you mentioned at the 1713 01:00:40,410 --> 01:00:38,530 end yuk Yuen and the others doing that 1714 01:00:42,330 --> 01:00:40,420 modeling that you talked about right 1715 01:00:44,849 --> 01:00:42,340 near the end of your talk it's certainly 1716 01:00:46,349 --> 01:00:44,859 very germane to that and Peter can fill 1717 01:00:48,450 --> 01:00:46,359 you in more on a lot of stuff that's 1718 01:00:50,190 --> 01:00:48,460 been going on the last few days so I 1719 01:00:52,320 --> 01:00:50,200 think there's another very valuable 1720 01:00:53,970 --> 01:00:52,330 connection so I'll let you respond and 1721 01:00:55,890 --> 01:00:53,980 in the meanwhile it's open to questions 1722 01:01:00,180 --> 01:00:55,900 just raise your hand and Adobe Connect 1723 01:01:09,030 --> 01:01:00,190 and we'll have a chance to interact more 1724 01:01:10,740 --> 01:01:09,040 with 50 can I respond sorry so yes so 1725 01:01:13,620 --> 01:01:10,750 thank you for all of those suggestions 1726 01:01:16,530 --> 01:01:13,630 yes um yeah Melissa's invitation was no 1727 01:01:18,330 --> 01:01:16,540 coincidence and to come up here so yes 1728 01:01:19,560 --> 01:01:18,340 we are very very interested and we 1729 01:01:21,330 --> 01:01:19,570 actually talked to there after the talk 1730 01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:21,340 about chemical models that could 1731 01:01:24,480 --> 01:01:22,930 potentially help her understand the 1732 01:01:26,130 --> 01:01:24,490 chain of reactions that that was going 1733 01:01:28,080 --> 01:01:26,140 on but of course we also want a better 1734 01:01:29,609 --> 01:01:28,090 characterize our Hayes's for the methane 1735 01:01:31,050 --> 01:01:29,619 modeling so there's a great synergy 1736 01:01:33,359 --> 01:01:31,060 there and yes we will continue to 1737 01:01:35,940 --> 01:01:33,369 interact it Melissa I didn't know about 1738 01:01:39,090 --> 01:01:35,950 Alicia's postdoc but that's fantastic so 1739 01:01:41,910 --> 01:01:39,100 yeah we're very we do have a very much 1740 01:01:43,620 --> 01:01:41,920 MSTAR kind of centric interest at the 1741 01:01:46,020 --> 01:01:43,630 moment and so we very much like to 1742 01:01:48,120 --> 01:01:46,030 interact with that with that postdoc and 1743 01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:48,130 see if we can help out with anything or 1744 01:01:52,349 --> 01:01:49,810 let you know the pitfalls of what we 1745 01:01:54,780 --> 01:01:52,359 tried to do I'm sorry I can't oh the 1746 01:01:57,270 --> 01:01:54,790 third one was the the interaction on 1747 01:02:00,060 --> 01:01:57,280 life's future habitability of climate is 1748 01:02:00,870 --> 01:02:00,070 that correct yeah Peter intimated in an 1749 01:02:01,980 --> 01:02:00,880 email that was something very 1750 01:02:03,089 --> 01:02:01,990 interesting he wanted to talk to me 1751 01:02:04,979 --> 01:02:03,099 about but I didn't get any do 1752 01:02:06,630 --> 01:02:04,989 I'm guessing that's it so when he gets 1753 01:02:08,130 --> 01:02:06,640 back in town I will I will talk to him 1754 01:02:15,689 --> 01:02:08,140 so thank you very much for all of those 1755 01:02:19,349 --> 01:02:15,699 suggestions okay Penn State had a 1756 01:02:21,900 --> 01:02:19,359 question yeah Becky McCauley here from 1757 01:02:24,870 --> 01:02:21,910 Penn State I was curious about what 1758 01:02:26,339 --> 01:02:24,880 fraction of a extrasolar planets orbit 1759 01:02:28,170 --> 01:02:26,349 you'd actually be able to look at and 1760 01:02:33,479 --> 01:02:28,180 like what that means for your temporal 1761 01:02:35,249 --> 01:02:33,489 analysis of the spectra the well again 1762 01:02:37,890 --> 01:02:35,259 that of course that depends on your on 1763 01:02:39,959 --> 01:02:37,900 your telescope overall but the general 1764 01:02:42,029 --> 01:02:39,969 feeling is that once we actually so I'm 1765 01:02:45,239 --> 01:02:42,039 saying for example for TPF which we're I 1766 01:02:48,180 --> 01:02:45,249 know we've looked at the the actual 1767 01:02:49,469 --> 01:02:48,190 detect ability as a function of phase if 1768 01:02:51,449 --> 01:02:49,479 we have one of these things we are going 1769 01:02:52,680 --> 01:02:51,459 to hammer it to death so that that's you 1770 01:02:54,779 --> 01:02:52,690 know a given that we'll spend as much 1771 01:02:56,400 --> 01:02:54,789 time as possible on it but yes we are 1772 01:02:59,969 --> 01:02:56,410 limited really to something between 1773 01:03:01,680 --> 01:02:59,979 dichotomy and the gibbous phase there 1774 01:03:05,370 --> 01:03:01,690 are limits to how close to the star we 1775 01:03:07,259 --> 01:03:05,380 can go so we do have limits on for 1776 01:03:08,609 --> 01:03:07,269 example on a purely edge on orbit how 1777 01:03:10,499 --> 01:03:08,619 much of that orbit we can potentially 1778 01:03:12,809 --> 01:03:10,509 see before we're too close to the star 1779 01:03:14,459 --> 01:03:12,819 either behind it or in front of it with 1780 01:03:16,920 --> 01:03:14,469 orbits that are tilted we do get a 1781 01:03:19,249 --> 01:03:16,930 little bit more of the phase that we can 1782 01:03:21,660 --> 01:03:19,259 look at but overall yes there are 1783 01:03:23,370 --> 01:03:21,670 limitations and that's part of what we'd 1784 01:03:24,630 --> 01:03:23,380 like to simulate as well to say that 1785 01:03:26,489 --> 01:03:24,640 look if you really only got three good 1786 01:03:27,839 --> 01:03:26,499 months what could you do with that you 1787 01:03:36,850 --> 01:03:27,849 know versus being able to track it 1788 01:03:42,640 --> 01:03:39,830 does anybody else have a question for 1789 01:03:48,290 --> 01:03:44,990 my name is prashanta from Montana State 1790 01:03:50,720 --> 01:03:48,300 University my question is is in the 1791 01:03:52,940 --> 01:03:50,730 first part of your talk you're talking 1792 01:03:55,220 --> 01:03:52,950 of developing your models which tries to 1793 01:03:57,500 --> 01:03:55,230 you know talk about where is likely to 1794 01:04:01,010 --> 01:03:57,510 be life that you can obtain to keep 1795 01:04:04,070 --> 01:04:01,020 account of not to commit the fallacy of 1796 01:04:06,440 --> 01:04:04,080 you know positive and false positive but 1797 01:04:09,110 --> 01:04:06,450 what about committing false negatives 1798 01:04:12,620 --> 01:04:09,120 that means the model says there is no 1799 01:04:14,480 --> 01:04:12,630 life but there is my actual right well 1800 01:04:15,470 --> 01:04:14,490 and in fact probably false negatives are 1801 01:04:17,840 --> 01:04:15,480 going to be more like even false 1802 01:04:19,640 --> 01:04:17,850 positives I would imagine and in that we 1803 01:04:20,680 --> 01:04:19,650 don't know the full extent of life 1804 01:04:23,480 --> 01:04:20,690 elsewhere 1805 01:04:25,100 --> 01:04:23,490 what you can try to do is build more 1806 01:04:26,300 --> 01:04:25,110 generalized rules like these rules of 1807 01:04:28,430 --> 01:04:26,310 chemical disequilibrium 1808 01:04:30,590 --> 01:04:28,440 where you really are looking for active 1809 01:04:31,910 --> 01:04:30,600 sources and sinks and and that is 1810 01:04:35,030 --> 01:04:31,920 something that is independent of any 1811 01:04:36,500 --> 01:04:35,040 preconceptions you might have about you 1812 01:04:39,230 --> 01:04:36,510 know what life should be doing in that 1813 01:04:40,820 --> 01:04:39,240 environment but if you if you go down 1814 01:04:42,080 --> 01:04:40,830 that route then you really do have to 1815 01:04:43,580 --> 01:04:42,090 have a very well characterized 1816 01:04:46,160 --> 01:04:43,590 environment to be able to pick up this 1817 01:04:48,710 --> 01:04:46,170 chemical disequilibrium signature and 1818 01:04:50,690 --> 01:04:48,720 you also have to be able to rule out the 1819 01:04:53,150 --> 01:04:50,700 possibility that that can be created by 1820 01:04:55,640 --> 01:04:53,160 something other than life like volcanism 1821 01:04:56,840 --> 01:04:55,650 or whatever so I think when we find life 1822 01:04:58,250 --> 01:04:56,850 I mean you've targeted one of the 1823 01:05:00,140 --> 01:04:58,260 problems is that it really is going to 1824 01:05:01,220 --> 01:05:00,150 be a probabilistic measurement we're 1825 01:05:03,170 --> 01:05:01,230 going to say okay we found these 1826 01:05:05,900 --> 01:05:03,180 characteristics we've done everything we 1827 01:05:07,700 --> 01:05:05,910 can to you know to say whether these 1828 01:05:09,680 --> 01:05:07,710 could be created by something else and 1829 01:05:11,630 --> 01:05:09,690 then we'll come to a probability but 1830 01:05:14,000 --> 01:05:11,640 then that doesn't address you know how 1831 01:05:15,350 --> 01:05:14,010 ignorant we might be of what life could 1832 01:05:16,310 --> 01:05:15,360 potentially what different types of life 1833 01:05:18,320 --> 01:05:16,320 could potentially do to the environment 1834 01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:18,330 and so that's your false negative 1835 01:05:22,370 --> 01:05:20,970 problem so I think the best we can do 1836 01:05:24,350 --> 01:05:22,380 now is just try and work with you know 1837 01:05:26,180 --> 01:05:24,360 the available information that we have 1838 01:05:28,520 --> 01:05:26,190 but keep in the back of our mind exactly 1839 01:05:31,220 --> 01:05:28,530 right that we may just miss it we may 1840 01:05:32,600 --> 01:05:31,230 just you know have no concept of what 1841 01:05:35,420 --> 01:05:32,610 that type of life with digital 1842 01:05:38,000 --> 01:05:35,430 environment we can only really look for 1843 01:05:46,420 --> 01:05:38,010 the life we have some clue or some idea 1844 01:05:51,279 --> 01:05:48,839 are there any other questions for Vicki 1845 01:05:52,839 --> 01:05:51,289 I'll give you a moment to think of one 1846 01:05:54,940 --> 01:05:52,849 by mentioning something I should have 1847 01:05:56,799 --> 01:05:54,950 mentioned that is that your colleague at 1848 01:05:59,710 --> 01:05:56,809 u-dub John Barris is one of the 1849 01:06:03,130 --> 01:05:59,720 lecturers at the Santander summer school 1850 01:06:05,109 --> 01:06:03,140 this year as is Mike Madigan who is the 1851 01:06:07,390 --> 01:06:05,119 senior author on the continuation of 1852 01:06:10,390 --> 01:06:07,400 Brock's microbiology which is a great 1853 01:06:11,890 --> 01:06:10,400 book any of you are not by any chance 1854 01:06:12,400 --> 01:06:11,900 familiar with it and then Ricardo 1855 01:06:14,680 --> 01:06:12,410 Emile's 1856 01:06:17,349 --> 01:06:14,690 and David guillotine ski are likely 1857 01:06:19,210 --> 01:06:17,359 going to be the two European lecturers 1858 01:06:24,700 --> 01:06:19,220 so it'll be a great experience third 1859 01:06:28,450 --> 01:06:24,710 week in June Alan boss from Carnegie and 1860 01:06:30,010 --> 01:06:28,460 the question please go ahead Alan Vicki 1861 01:06:31,210 --> 01:06:30,020 I've got a really wacky question for you 1862 01:06:33,069 --> 01:06:31,220 I've been giving a lot of public talks 1863 01:06:35,589 --> 01:06:33,079 lately about what the tea theatre could 1864 01:06:37,750 --> 01:06:35,599 not do and the occasion people people 1865 01:06:39,220 --> 01:06:37,760 people ask me suppose we're talking 1866 01:06:41,079 --> 01:06:39,230 about looking for life which is not 1867 01:06:41,799 --> 01:06:41,089 based on carbon based on silicon or 1868 01:06:43,269 --> 01:06:41,809 something like that have you ever 1869 01:06:45,400 --> 01:06:43,279 thought about what a silicon-based 1870 01:06:50,140 --> 01:06:45,410 life-form might do in terms of what TPF 1871 01:06:51,789 --> 01:06:50,150 could find most likely people think the 1872 01:06:53,589 --> 01:06:51,799 most is a recce answer people think the 1873 01:06:55,779 --> 01:06:53,599 most likely silicon-based life-form is 1874 01:06:57,099 --> 01:06:55,789 probably a robotic race in which case I 1875 01:07:01,299 --> 01:06:57,109 guess we're looking for Dyson spheres 1876 01:07:02,380 --> 01:07:01,309 and technology I think except of course 1877 01:07:03,700 --> 01:07:02,390 by the time they get to that point they 1878 01:07:06,849 --> 01:07:03,710 probably don't need a Dyson Sphere I 1879 01:07:08,589 --> 01:07:06,859 think you know from arguments with with 1880 01:07:10,089 --> 01:07:08,599 colleagues and chemistry I mean we still 1881 01:07:13,269 --> 01:07:10,099 think that silicon is a far less 1882 01:07:17,200 --> 01:07:13,279 probable basis for life again if Steve 1883 01:07:19,390 --> 01:07:17,210 Banta wants to leave any can but I think 1884 01:07:21,220 --> 01:07:19,400 we still stuck on the carbon-based 1885 01:07:23,950 --> 01:07:21,230 water-based it just really makes more 1886 01:07:25,690 --> 01:07:23,960 chemical sense than silicon overall but 1887 01:07:27,819 --> 01:07:25,700 again the the argument is that 1888 01:07:29,380 --> 01:07:27,829 eventually our organic race may evolve 1889 01:07:31,660 --> 01:07:29,390 to be silicon based we will replace 1890 01:07:34,690 --> 01:07:31,670 ourselves with electronic components and 1891 01:07:36,069 --> 01:07:34,700 therefore we will be you know less our 1892 01:07:38,769 --> 01:07:36,079 habitable zone willing increase 1893 01:07:40,390 --> 01:07:38,779 potentially and that is probably the 1894 01:07:43,120 --> 01:07:40,400 type of silicon-based life we're most 1895 01:07:45,069 --> 01:07:43,130 likely didn't meet the real basic 1896 01:07:45,880 --> 01:07:45,079 question is I suppose if to the extent 1897 01:07:47,559 --> 01:07:45,890 that people have considered 1898 01:07:51,029 --> 01:07:47,569 silicon-based life at all what would be 1899 01:07:52,960 --> 01:07:51,039 the the byproducts of silicon based 1900 01:07:56,710 --> 01:07:52,970 metabolism what would you end up with 1901 01:07:58,660 --> 01:07:56,720 silicon dioxide or would it be I have no 1902 01:08:00,010 --> 01:07:58,670 idea Alan Oh an acid I honestly 1903 01:08:02,920 --> 01:08:00,020 no idea what's going to come out of the 1904 01:08:05,200 --> 01:08:02,930 the reactions Allen take a look at the 1905 01:08:07,990 --> 01:08:05,210 the so-called weird life report the 1906 01:08:10,210 --> 01:08:08,000 limits of life and organic systems that 1907 01:08:13,270 --> 01:08:10,220 the NRC put out a couple of years ago 1908 01:08:15,670 --> 01:08:13,280 and again John Barris with the the 1909 01:08:17,800 --> 01:08:15,680 chairman of that group basically what 1910 01:08:20,020 --> 01:08:17,810 they argue is that you're not going to 1911 01:08:22,090 --> 01:08:20,030 get silicon-based life in water simply 1912 01:08:24,520 --> 01:08:22,100 because the silicon molecules aren't 1913 01:08:26,230 --> 01:08:24,530 stable in water however you could get 1914 01:08:29,170 --> 01:08:26,240 silicon-based life if you were looking 1915 01:08:33,100 --> 01:08:29,180 at a different solvent and so to the 1916 01:08:35,320 --> 01:08:33,110 degree that Vickie is focused on planets 1917 01:08:37,330 --> 01:08:35,330 that contain water silicon-based life 1918 01:08:39,700 --> 01:08:37,340 probably isn't all that much of an issue 1919 01:08:41,620 --> 01:08:39,710 but if you start looking at more diverse 1920 01:08:43,930 --> 01:08:41,630 planets where you have form emit or 1921 01:08:46,300 --> 01:08:43,940 something else i forget which solvents 1922 01:08:49,930 --> 01:08:46,310 they suggest it could support silicon 1923 01:08:53,020 --> 01:08:49,940 based chemistry then you start getting 1924 01:08:54,730 --> 01:08:53,030 into you know sort of the the more 1925 01:08:57,640 --> 01:08:54,740 scientific speculation about your 1926 01:09:01,450 --> 01:08:57,650 question thanks for taking more 1927 01:09:02,560 --> 01:09:01,460 seriously than deserve to be taken yeah 1928 01:09:03,630 --> 01:09:02,570 I was going to say if John was here I'm 1929 01:09:06,280 --> 01:09:03,640 sure he could give you a better answer 1930 01:09:08,050 --> 01:09:06,290 well you know the folks who did the 1931 01:09:10,600 --> 01:09:08,060 weird life report actually took it that 1932 01:09:15,340 --> 01:09:10,610 seriously so we might as well piggyback 1933 01:09:19,330 --> 01:09:15,350 on their enthusiasm for that so are 1934 01:09:34,270 --> 01:09:19,340 there any other questions for Vicki went 1935 01:09:36,220 --> 01:09:34,280 Leigh how Goddard I was doing you went 1936 01:09:37,780 --> 01:09:36,230 through much of it very rapidly but I 1937 01:09:40,140 --> 01:09:37,790 came away with the overall impression 1938 01:09:43,510 --> 01:09:40,150 that you have hundreds of people 1939 01:09:46,630 --> 01:09:43,520 involved in these very insensitive 1940 01:09:50,770 --> 01:09:46,640 hundreds and I can't imagine how you can 1941 01:09:53,170 --> 01:09:50,780 keep all this straight frankly I thought 1942 01:09:55,660 --> 01:09:53,180 my team was big but yours is phenomenal 1943 01:10:00,370 --> 01:09:55,670 but can you just give us the secrets 1944 01:10:08,800 --> 01:10:00,380 that you have Jim casting in line we see 1945 01:10:11,720 --> 01:10:08,810 you there in the Penn State well it is a 1946 01:10:14,600 --> 01:10:11,730 very large team but you know yeah I do 1947 01:10:15,890 --> 01:10:14,610 I do have to keep you know tabs on a lot 1948 01:10:16,850 --> 01:10:15,900 of different people and in fact it was 1949 01:10:18,590 --> 01:10:16,860 quite stressful putting this 1950 01:10:20,900 --> 01:10:18,600 presentation together just trying to 1951 01:10:22,100 --> 01:10:20,910 draw everything in and try and coalesce 1952 01:10:24,860 --> 01:10:22,110 into something that would fit within an 1953 01:10:26,990 --> 01:10:24,870 hour but we we have regular team 1954 01:10:29,570 --> 01:10:27,000 meetings you know at once every two 1955 01:10:32,150 --> 01:10:29,580 weeks or so we have an email exploder 1956 01:10:33,770 --> 01:10:32,160 where a lot of people interact and we of 1957 01:10:35,600 --> 01:10:33,780 course have secondary relationships 1958 01:10:37,400 --> 01:10:35,610 where people are members of the team but 1959 01:10:39,680 --> 01:10:37,410 they collaborate with another task lead 1960 01:10:43,670 --> 01:10:39,690 and so you know I don't necessarily have 1961 01:10:45,770 --> 01:10:43,680 to keep track of everybody but yeah I 1962 01:10:46,880 --> 01:10:45,780 just we just get people involved in this 1963 01:10:49,190 --> 01:10:46,890 I have to say I also have some 1964 01:10:50,660 --> 01:10:49,200 spectacular a productive post Docs so it 1965 01:10:54,080 --> 01:10:50,670 looks like the work of 10 people but it 1966 01:10:56,450 --> 01:10:54,090 sounds in the work of one and and so you 1967 01:10:57,950 --> 01:10:56,460 know I really I really can't give this 1968 01:10:59,600 --> 01:10:57,960 an answer other than the fact that we do 1969 01:11:02,390 --> 01:10:59,610 hang together very well as a team we 1970 01:11:04,130 --> 01:11:02,400 have a lot of interactions and so I do 1971 01:11:06,920 --> 01:11:04,140 get to keep abreast of what people are 1972 01:11:08,780 --> 01:11:06,930 doing on a fairly regular basis and 1973 01:11:13,310 --> 01:11:08,790 keeping Jim casting in line is really 1974 01:11:14,540 --> 01:11:13,320 not a problem at all right Jim is about 1975 01:11:16,100 --> 01:11:14,550 to leap in here because he has the next 1976 01:11:17,420 --> 01:11:16,110 question but now we've had it we've had 1977 01:11:18,890 --> 01:11:17,430 a fabulous relationship with Penn State 1978 01:11:21,110 --> 01:11:18,900 and that's that's part of what helps 1979 01:11:22,580 --> 01:11:21,120 keep us together to Jim and his postdocs 1980 01:11:24,260 --> 01:11:22,590 and grads are what you're seeing 1981 01:11:26,870 --> 01:11:24,270 producing a lot of this stuff here as 1982 01:11:32,270 --> 01:11:26,880 well so very productive collaborators 1983 01:11:35,540 --> 01:11:32,280 and very you know integrated team go 1984 01:11:37,250 --> 01:11:35,550 ahead Jim thanks Vickie actually I think 1985 01:11:39,500 --> 01:11:37,260 what keeps many of us coming back is 1986 01:11:41,930 --> 01:11:39,510 that the cabin any kind of question 1987 01:11:43,970 --> 01:11:41,940 related to exoplanets in life detection 1988 01:11:47,690 --> 01:11:43,980 you can usually get it answered on the 1989 01:11:51,350 --> 01:11:47,700 VP a VP L email responder expander 1990 01:11:52,960 --> 01:11:51,360 within about the three hours or less but 1991 01:11:56,930 --> 01:11:52,970 one comment that I did want to make 1992 01:11:59,900 --> 01:11:56,940 Vicky was in respect to this question of 1993 01:12:02,300 --> 01:11:59,910 alien life and bio signatures life may 1994 01:12:04,850 --> 01:12:02,310 be very alien but thermodynamics is 1995 01:12:06,590 --> 01:12:04,860 universal and so you know I agree with 1996 01:12:08,930 --> 01:12:06,600 Carl I thought you gave a good answer to 1997 01:12:10,550 --> 01:12:08,940 the silicon life question but if you 1998 01:12:13,640 --> 01:12:10,560 have carbon-based life this may be 1999 01:12:15,950 --> 01:12:13,650 totally different from you know ours not 2000 01:12:17,540 --> 01:12:15,960 DNA or RNA but something different I 2001 01:12:19,340 --> 01:12:17,550 think you're still going to end up with 2002 01:12:21,530 --> 01:12:19,350 the same types of byproducts of 2003 01:12:23,270 --> 01:12:21,540 metabolism that you get here on earth 2004 01:12:24,089 --> 01:12:23,280 just because certain things are 2005 01:12:26,459 --> 01:12:24,099 thermodynamic 2006 01:12:29,159 --> 01:12:26,469 favored and organisms can make a living 2007 01:12:37,080 --> 01:12:29,169 so there is you know some more general 2008 01:12:39,689 --> 01:12:37,090 justification to that right I agree one 2009 01:12:42,359 --> 01:12:39,699 of the things I'd mention in response to 2010 01:12:44,699 --> 01:12:42,369 Mike's observation is that Vicki uses 2011 01:12:48,540 --> 01:12:44,709 the technology that we are using right 2012 01:12:50,219 --> 01:12:48,550 now namely the ability to use the 2013 01:12:52,770 --> 01:12:50,229 multi-point control unit that's 2014 01:12:54,299 --> 01:12:52,780 providing this very nice picture that 2015 01:12:56,369 --> 01:12:54,309 you're all looking at now and seeing 2016 01:12:58,109 --> 01:12:56,379 everybody smiling faces and Adobe 2017 01:13:01,500 --> 01:12:58,119 Connect and all of that so I just 2018 01:13:04,589 --> 01:13:01,510 mentioned that to encourage everybody to 2019 01:13:06,629 --> 01:13:04,599 consider using this in any way as you 2020 01:13:09,659 --> 01:13:06,639 manage your teams in your research it's 2021 01:13:12,869 --> 01:13:09,669 available to all of you we can train 2022 01:13:14,790 --> 01:13:12,879 your IT folks on how to use it but 2023 01:13:16,979 --> 01:13:14,800 basically there's a web interface and 2024 01:13:18,359 --> 01:13:16,989 this technology is available to all of 2025 01:13:20,339 --> 01:13:18,369 you so any of you can be running a 2026 01:13:22,909 --> 01:13:20,349 meeting like this one and I know Vicki 2027 01:13:25,109 --> 01:13:22,919 has been using that as one of her tools 2028 01:13:27,810 --> 01:13:25,119 so are there any other questions for 2029 01:13:31,109 --> 01:13:27,820 Vicki yes I'm a question from Colorado 2030 01:13:33,179 --> 01:13:31,119 okay go ahead Vicki this is Katherine 2031 01:13:35,099 --> 01:13:33,189 right from Colorado you were talking 2032 01:13:37,409 --> 01:13:35,109 about modeling planets with liquid water 2033 01:13:39,119 --> 01:13:37,419 on the surface and I wanted to ask since 2034 01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:39,129 it's quite possible for a planet to be 2035 01:13:42,270 --> 01:13:41,050 habitable without liquid water on the 2036 01:13:43,739 --> 01:13:42,280 surface if there's water underground 2037 01:13:48,199 --> 01:13:43,749 where they're also modeling that type of 2038 01:13:51,119 --> 01:13:48,209 planet um I guess the answer is not yet 2039 01:13:52,560 --> 01:13:51,129 they I mean our concern with liquid 2040 01:13:53,790 --> 01:13:52,570 water on a service and I know this is 2041 01:13:55,819 --> 01:13:53,800 this is a hot-button issue in the 2042 01:13:57,779 --> 01:13:55,829 astrobiology community that this this 2043 01:14:00,750 --> 01:13:57,789 discrimination between surface and 2044 01:14:02,609 --> 01:14:00,760 subsurface life we stick to surface life 2045 01:14:04,830 --> 01:14:02,619 just because it's more detectable over 2046 01:14:07,889 --> 01:14:04,840 very large distances it it is harder 2047 01:14:10,020 --> 01:14:07,899 with subsurface life to detect for 2048 01:14:12,029 --> 01:14:10,030 example any surface features from it the 2049 01:14:15,239 --> 01:14:12,039 gases may get released in and get up 2050 01:14:16,619 --> 01:14:15,249 into the atmosphere and and that may be 2051 01:14:18,389 --> 01:14:16,629 significant our planet with a lot of 2052 01:14:20,729 --> 01:14:18,399 geothermal activity but if you're 2053 01:14:23,580 --> 01:14:20,739 looking at you know photosynthetically 2054 01:14:24,989 --> 01:14:23,590 driven liquid water life then you really 2055 01:14:26,369 --> 01:14:24,999 need to be on the surface obviously to 2056 01:14:28,139 --> 01:14:26,379 get the kind of biomass the kind of 2057 01:14:30,299 --> 01:14:28,149 output that we're more likely to detect 2058 01:14:31,889 --> 01:14:30,309 so I think first off the bat when these 2059 01:14:33,689 --> 01:14:31,899 missions are going to be struggling 2060 01:14:35,849 --> 01:14:33,699 definitely to get enough protons from 2061 01:14:37,290 --> 01:14:35,859 these planets that we do tend to have 2062 01:14:39,510 --> 01:14:37,300 this bias that we want the 2063 01:14:41,490 --> 01:14:39,520 to be on the surface just because it's 2064 01:14:43,170 --> 01:14:41,500 easier to detect it's more likely to 2065 01:14:45,320 --> 01:14:43,180 eventually gotten photosynthesis and so 2066 01:14:47,850 --> 01:14:45,330 be a highly productive biosphere as well 2067 01:14:51,570 --> 01:14:47,860 so that's kind of our bias at the moment 2068 01:14:52,920 --> 01:14:51,580 but you know if if it's possible that 2069 01:14:55,230 --> 01:14:52,930 subsurface life can release enough 2070 01:14:56,700 --> 01:14:55,240 things is inefficient enough that it 2071 01:14:59,280 --> 01:14:56,710 releases enough stuff into the 2072 01:15:01,530 --> 01:14:59,290 atmosphere I mean most most areas where 2073 01:15:03,450 --> 01:15:01,540 resources are limited if you tend to get 2074 01:15:05,190 --> 01:15:03,460 its efficiency where you know in a 2075 01:15:06,660 --> 01:15:05,200 microbial mat you don't let anything out 2076 01:15:08,760 --> 01:15:06,670 the top if you can possibly avoid it you 2077 01:15:10,890 --> 01:15:08,770 know somebody usually involves to use it 2078 01:15:12,450 --> 01:15:10,900 so in that case this would have to be 2079 01:15:15,270 --> 01:15:12,460 sort of a release from the biosphere 2080 01:15:16,830 --> 01:15:15,280 into the service environment and we just 2081 01:15:18,930 --> 01:15:16,840 think that maybe that's less likely or 2082 01:15:28,640 --> 01:15:18,940 more difficult to see but those are our 2083 01:15:34,650 --> 01:15:32,250 okay let me just announce attention that 2084 01:15:37,020 --> 01:15:34,660 the seminar on Wednesday of this week 2085 01:15:39,360 --> 01:15:37,030 will be by Mike Miller for the Goddard 2086 01:15:41,100 --> 01:15:39,370 team same time same Channel 2087 01:15:49,500 --> 01:15:41,110 look forward to seeing you then and